Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 5

Sep 17, 2023 at 4.05pm UK

Stade Velodrome

Marseille
0 - 0
Toulouse

Correa (64'), Marcelino (80+80'), Harit (89')

Schmidt (4'), Desler (45'), Magri (77'), Restes (79'), Bangre (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Marseille and Toulouse, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Marseille

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Nantes 1-1 Marseille
Friday, September 1 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Toulouse

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Toulouse 2-2 Clermont
Sunday, September 3 at 12pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Marseille 3-1 Toulouse

While Toulouse have made a decent start to the season, we expect Marseille to maintain their unbeaten record by claiming a relatively comfortable victory on home soil. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 52.16%. A win for Toulouse had a probability of 24.72% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.21%) and 2-0 (8.3%). The likeliest Toulouse win was 1-2 (6.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.78%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.

Result
Marseille	Draw	Toulouse
52.16% ( -1.01)	23.12% ( -0.01)	24.72% ( 1.02)

Both teams to score 57.64% (

1.19)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.1% (

1.04)

42.89% (

-1.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.7% (

1.02)

65.3% (

-1.02)

Marseille Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.52% (

0.02)

16.48% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.8% (

0.03)

46.2% (

-0.03)

Toulouse Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.01% (

1.41)

30.99% (

-1.41)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.71% (

1.62)

67.29% (

-1.62)

Score Analysis

Marseille 52.16%

Toulouse 24.72%

Draw 23.11%

Marseille	Draw	Toulouse
2-1 @ 9.73% ( -0.05) 1-0 @ 9.21% ( -0.42) 2-0 @ 8.3% ( -0.38) 3-1 @ 5.84% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 4.99% ( -0.22) 3-2 @ 3.42% ( 0.11) 4-1 @ 2.63% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 2.25% ( -0.1) 4-2 @ 1.54% ( 0.05) 5-1 @ 0.95% ( -0) Other @ 3.29% Total : 52.16%	1-1 @ 10.78% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 5.7% ( 0.19) 0-0 @ 5.11% ( -0.24) 3-3 @ 1.34% ( 0.09) Other @ 0.19% Total : 23.11%	1-2 @ 6.32% ( 0.2) 0-1 @ 5.98% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 3.51% ( 0.11) 1-3 @ 2.47% ( 0.17) 2-3 @ 2.23% ( 0.16) 0-3 @ 1.37% ( 0.09) Other @ 2.85% Total : 24.72%