Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 52.16%. A win for Toulouse had a probability of 24.72% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.21%) and 2-0 (8.3%). The likeliest Toulouse win was 1-2 (6.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.78%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Marseille | Draw | Toulouse |
52.16% ( -1.01) | 23.12% ( -0.01) | 24.72% ( 1.02) |
Both teams to score 57.64% ( 1.19) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.1% ( 1.04) | 42.89% ( -1.04) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.7% ( 1.02) | 65.3% ( -1.02) |
Marseille Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.52% ( 0.02) | 16.48% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.8% ( 0.03) | 46.2% ( -0.03) |
Toulouse Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.01% ( 1.41) | 30.99% ( -1.41) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.71% ( 1.62) | 67.29% ( -1.62) |
Score Analysis |
Marseille | Draw | Toulouse |
2-1 @ 9.73% ( -0.05) 1-0 @ 9.21% ( -0.42) 2-0 @ 8.3% ( -0.38) 3-1 @ 5.84% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 4.99% ( -0.22) 3-2 @ 3.42% ( 0.11) 4-1 @ 2.63% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 2.25% ( -0.1) 4-2 @ 1.54% ( 0.05) 5-1 @ 0.95% ( -0) Other @ 3.29% Total : 52.16% | 1-1 @ 10.78% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 5.7% ( 0.19) 0-0 @ 5.11% ( -0.24) 3-3 @ 1.34% ( 0.09) Other @ 0.19% Total : 23.11% | 1-2 @ 6.32% ( 0.2) 0-1 @ 5.98% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 3.51% ( 0.11) 1-3 @ 2.47% ( 0.17) 2-3 @ 2.23% ( 0.16) 0-3 @ 1.37% ( 0.09) Other @ 2.85% Total : 24.72% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 11 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 33 | 10 | 23 | 29 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 18 | 8 | 10 | 23 |
3 | Marseille | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 24 | 15 | 9 | 20 |
4 | Lille | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 18 | 11 | 7 | 19 |
5 | Lyon | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 15 | 3 | 18 |
6 | Nice | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 21 | 11 | 10 | 17 |
7 | Reims | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 19 | 15 | 4 | 17 |
8 | Lens | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 17 |
9 | Auxerre | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 16 |
10 | Toulouse | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 15 |
11 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 20 | 22 | -2 | 13 |
12 | Brest | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 13 |
13 | Rennes | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 18 | -5 | 11 |
14 | NantesNantes | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 10 |
15 | Angers | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 20 | -7 | 10 |
16 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 10 | 25 | -15 | 10 |
17 | Le HavreLe Havre | 11 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 8 | 23 | -15 | 9 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 11 | 31 | -20 | 7 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |