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Angers
AJ Auxerre
Brest logo
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
Lyon
Marseille
Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Reims
Rennes
Saint-Etienne
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Marseille
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 5
Sep 17, 2023 at 4.05pm UK
Stade Velodrome
Toulouse

Marseille
0 - 0
Toulouse


Correa (64'), Marcelino (80+80'), Harit (89')
FT

Schmidt (4'), Desler (45'), Magri (77'), Restes (79'), Bangre (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Marseille and Toulouse, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Nantes 1-1 Marseille
Friday, September 1 at 8pm in Ligue 1

We said: Marseille 3-1 Toulouse

While Toulouse have made a decent start to the season, we expect Marseille to maintain their unbeaten record by claiming a relatively comfortable victory on home soil. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 52.16%. A win for Toulouse had a probability of 24.72% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.21%) and 2-0 (8.3%). The likeliest Toulouse win was 1-2 (6.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.78%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.

Result
MarseilleDrawToulouse
52.16% (-1.01 -1.01) 23.12% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 24.72% (1.017 1.02)
Both teams to score 57.64% (1.192 1.19)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.1% (1.041 1.04)42.89% (-1.039 -1.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.7% (1.024 1.02)65.3% (-1.023 -1.02)
Marseille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.52% (0.018000000000001 0.02)16.48% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.8% (0.032999999999994 0.03)46.2% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)
Toulouse Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.01% (1.412 1.41)30.99% (-1.411 -1.41)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.71% (1.624 1.62)67.29% (-1.621 -1.62)
Score Analysis
    Marseille 52.16%
    Toulouse 24.72%
    Draw 23.11%
MarseilleDrawToulouse
2-1 @ 9.73% (-0.055 -0.05)
1-0 @ 9.21% (-0.425 -0.42)
2-0 @ 8.3% (-0.377 -0.38)
3-1 @ 5.84% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
3-0 @ 4.99% (-0.224 -0.22)
3-2 @ 3.42% (0.113 0.11)
4-1 @ 2.63% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.25% (-0.099 -0.1)
4-2 @ 1.54% (0.052 0.05)
5-1 @ 0.95% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 3.29%
Total : 52.16%
1-1 @ 10.78% (-0.07 -0.07)
2-2 @ 5.7% (0.186 0.19)
0-0 @ 5.11% (-0.238 -0.24)
3-3 @ 1.34% (0.094 0.09)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 23.11%
1-2 @ 6.32% (0.202 0.2)
0-1 @ 5.98% (-0.041 -0.04)
0-2 @ 3.51% (0.11 0.11)
1-3 @ 2.47% (0.17 0.17)
2-3 @ 2.23% (0.155 0.16)
0-3 @ 1.37% (0.093 0.09)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 24.72%

How you voted: Marseille vs Toulouse

Marseille
89.6%
Draw
6.3%
Toulouse
4.2%
48
Head to Head
Feb 19, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 24
Toulouse
2-3
Marseille
Dallinga (3'), Onaiwu (87')
Mbemba (52'), Under (59'), Tavares (78')
Dec 29, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 16
Marseille
6-1
Toulouse
Rongier (13'), Nicolaisen (41' og.), Kolasinac (51'), Payet (61'), Under (80' pen.), Tavares (82')
Van den Boomen (66' pen.)
Feb 8, 2020 4.30pm
Gameweek 24
Marseille
1-0
Toulouse
Payet (51')
Gonzalez (15')

Makengo (61'), Sylla (71')
Nov 24, 2019 8pm
Gameweek 14
Toulouse
0-2
Marseille

Sangare (32'), Isimat-Mirin (63'), Amian (86')
Moreira (41')
Benedetto (76'), Radonjic (79')
Strootman (70'), Radonjic (80'), Kamara (82')
May 18, 2019 8pm
Gameweek 37
Toulouse
2-5
Marseille
Leya Iseka (26'), Gradel (61')
Jullien (22')
Sanson (29'), Sakai (50'), N'Jie (76'), Thauvin (90')
Amavi (39'), Rami (59')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG108202982126
2Marseille1062223121120
3MonacoMonaco10622157820
4Lille10532169718
5Nice104421991016
6Lyon104331715215
7Lens1035297214
8Reims104241615114
9StrasbourgStrasbourg103431919013
10Auxerre104151718-113
11Brest104151316-313
12Toulouse103341111012
13Rennes103251316-311
14NantesNantes102441214-210
15Angers102441116-510
16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne103161024-1410
17Le HavreLe Havre10307820-129
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier10118830-224


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