Ligue 1 | Gameweek 1
Aug 13, 2023 at 2pm UK
Stade de la Beaujoire - Louis Fonteneau
Nantes1 - 2Toulouse
We said: Nantes 1-1 Toulouse
Both sides seem weakened by their transfer-window dealings so far, and a low-scoring encounter could be on the cards when they meet on Ligue 1's opening day. Even in pre-season, Nantes have lost that winning feeling, so they may have to settle for a home draw against their cup final conquerors. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toulouse win with a probability of 39.28%. A win for Nantes had a probability of 35.04% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toulouse win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.56%) and 0-2 (6.51%). The likeliest Nantes win was 1-0 (8.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Toulouse would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Nantes | Draw | Toulouse |
35.04% ( 0.09) | 25.68% ( 0.05) | 39.28% ( -0.13) |
| Both teams to score 55.2% ( -0.15) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
