Ligue 1 | Gameweek 1
Aug 13, 2023 at 2pm UK
Stade de la Beaujoire - Louis Fonteneau
We said: Nantes 1-1 Toulouse
Both sides seem weakened by their transfer-window dealings so far, and a low-scoring encounter could be on the cards when they meet on Ligue 1's opening day. Even in pre-season, Nantes have lost that winning feeling, so they may have to settle for a home draw against their cup final conquerors.
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Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toulouse win with a probability of 39.28% . A win for Nantes had a probability of 35.04% and a draw had a probability of 25.7% .
The most likely scoreline for a Toulouse win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.26% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.56%) and 0-2 (6.51%) . The likeliest Nantes win was 1-0 (8.65%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.17%) . The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood . Our data analysis correctly predicted that Toulouse would win this match.
Result Nantes Draw Toulouse 35.04% ( 0.09) 25.68% ( 0.05) 39.28% ( -0.13)
Both teams to score 55.2% ( -0.15)
51.12% ( -0.2) 48.87% ( 0.21)
29.03% ( -0.18) 70.97% ( 0.19)
73.12% ( -0.04) 26.88% ( 0.05)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 37.8% ( -0.06) 62.2% ( 0.06)
75.49% ( -0.16) 24.5% ( 0.17)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 41.03% ( -0.23) 58.96% ( 0.23)
Nantes 35.04%
Toulouse 39.28%
Draw 25.68%
Nantes Draw Toulouse 1-0 @ 8.65% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 7.99% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 5.68% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 3.5% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.49% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.46% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.15% ( -0) Other @ 3.1% Total : 35.04% 1-1 @ 12.17% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 6.59% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 5.62% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.15% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.68% 0-1 @ 9.26% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 8.56% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 6.51% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 4.01% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 3.05% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.64% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.41% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 1.07% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 0.93% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.84% Total : 39.28%
How you voted: Nantes vs Toulouse
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rhs 2.0
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