MX23RW : Monday, November 25 06:10:43| >> :300:86500:86500:
Angers
AJ Auxerre
Brest logo
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
Lyon
Marseille
Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Reims
Rennes
Saint-Etienne
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Nantes
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 1
Aug 13, 2023 at 2pm UK
Stade de la Beaujoire - Louis Fonteneau
Toulouse

Nantes
1 - 2
Toulouse

Mohamed (13' pen.)
Coco (2'), Pallois (18')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Aboukhlal (62'), Nicolaisen (90+1')
Costa (52'), Sierro (73')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Nantes and Toulouse, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hull City 1-1 Nantes
Saturday, July 29 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Toulouse 2-1 Roma
Sunday, August 6 at 6.30pm in Club Friendlies 1

We said: Nantes 1-1 Toulouse

Both sides seem weakened by their transfer-window dealings so far, and a low-scoring encounter could be on the cards when they meet on Ligue 1's opening day. Even in pre-season, Nantes have lost that winning feeling, so they may have to settle for a home draw against their cup final conquerors. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toulouse win with a probability of 39.28%. A win for Nantes had a probability of 35.04% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toulouse win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.56%) and 0-2 (6.51%). The likeliest Nantes win was 1-0 (8.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Toulouse would win this match.

Result
NantesDrawToulouse
35.04% (0.086999999999996 0.09) 25.68% (0.050000000000001 0.05) 39.28% (-0.135 -0.13)
Both teams to score 55.2% (-0.153 -0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.12% (-0.204 -0.2)48.87% (0.207 0.21)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.03% (-0.185 -0.18)70.97% (0.188 0.19)
Nantes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.12% (-0.043000000000006 -0.04)26.88% (0.047000000000001 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.8% (-0.060000000000002 -0.06)62.2% (0.063000000000002 0.06)
Toulouse Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.49% (-0.16200000000001 -0.16)24.5% (0.165 0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.03% (-0.229 -0.23)58.96% (0.232 0.23)
Score Analysis
    Nantes 35.04%
    Toulouse 39.28%
    Draw 25.68%
NantesDrawToulouse
1-0 @ 8.65% (0.061999999999999 0.06)
2-1 @ 7.99% (0.008 0.01)
2-0 @ 5.68% (0.032 0.03)
3-1 @ 3.5% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 2.49% (0.011 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.46% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.15% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.1%
Total : 35.04%
1-1 @ 12.17% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 6.59% (0.056 0.06)
2-2 @ 5.62% (-0.021 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.15% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.68%
0-1 @ 9.26% (0.034000000000001 0.03)
1-2 @ 8.56% (-0.020999999999999 -0.02)
0-2 @ 6.51% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
1-3 @ 4.01% (-0.029 -0.03)
0-3 @ 3.05% (-0.018 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.64% (-0.022 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.41% (-0.017 -0.02)
0-4 @ 1.07% (-0.011 -0.01)
2-4 @ 0.93% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 1.84%
Total : 39.28%

How you voted: Nantes vs Toulouse

Nantes
39.6%
Draw
35.4%
Toulouse
25.0%
48
Head to Head
May 14, 2023 3.30pm
Apr 29, 2023 8pm
Final
Nantes
1-5
Toulouse
Blas (75' pen.)
Costa (4', 10'), Dallinga (23', 31'), Aboukhlal (79')
Aug 28, 2022 12pm
Gameweek 4
Nantes
3-1
Toulouse
Guessand (50'), Mohamed (55'), Simon (61')
Aboukhlal (15')
van den Boomen (37'), Dejaegere (45'), Nicolaisen (87')
Apr 18, 2020 7pm
Dec 1, 2019 2pm
Gameweek 15
Nantes
2-1
Toulouse
Toure (43' pen.), Blas (53')
Bamba (40')
Leya Iseka (97' pen.)
Kone (8'), Isimat-Mirin (48')
Kone (23')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG12102036102632
2MonacoMonaco1282221101126
3Marseille1272327161123
4Lille126421911822
5Nice1255223121120
6Lyon125431916319
7Auxerre126152119219
8Reims125342016418
9Lens124531312117
10Toulouse124351314-115
11StrasbourgStrasbourg123452124-313
12Brest124171622-613
13Saint-EtienneSt Etienne124171125-1413
14Le HavreLe Havre124081023-1312
15Rennes123271319-611
16NantesNantes122461419-510
17Angers122461321-810
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier122191132-217


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