Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 62.87%. A draw had a probability of 18.9% and a win for Young Boys had a probability of 18.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.94%) and 1-3 (7.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.12%), while for a Young Boys win it was 2-1 (4.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sporting Lisbon would win this match.