Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 84.62%. A draw had a probability of 10.6% and a win for Casa Pia had a probability of 4.81%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (12.24%) and 4-0 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.02%), while for a Casa Pia win it was 0-1 (1.69%). The actual scoreline of 8-0 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sporting Lisbon would win this match.
Result | ||
Sporting Lisbon | Draw | Casa Pia |
84.62% (![]() | 10.58% (![]() | 4.81% (![]() |
Both teams to score 43.04% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
69.33% (![]() | 30.67% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
48.01% (![]() | 52% (![]() |
Sporting Lisbon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
94.89% (![]() | 5.11% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
79.69% (![]() | 20.32% (![]() |
Casa Pia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
45.36% (![]() | 54.64% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
12.34% (![]() | 87.67% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Sporting Lisbon | Draw | Casa Pia |
2-0 @ 12.35% (![]() 3-0 @ 12.24% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 9.1% ( ![]() 1-0 @ 8.31% ( ![]() 2-1 @ 7.46% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 7.4% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 5.5% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 5.41% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 3.27% ( ![]() 6-0 @ 2.68% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.24% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.66% ( ![]() 6-1 @ 1.62% ( ![]() 7-0 @ 1.14% ( ![]() 5-2 @ 0.99% ( ![]() Other @ 3.25% Total : 84.62% | 1-1 @ 5.02% (![]() 0-0 @ 2.79% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 2.26% ( ![]() Other @ 0.51% Total : 10.58% | 0-1 @ 1.69% (![]() 1-2 @ 1.52% ( ![]() Other @ 1.61% Total : 4.81% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 25 | 18 | 5 | 2 | 67 | 22 | 45 | 59 |
2 | Benfica | 24 | 18 | 2 | 4 | 56 | 18 | 38 | 56 |
3 | Porto | 25 | 15 | 5 | 5 | 49 | 20 | 29 | 50 |
4 | Braga | 25 | 15 | 5 | 5 | 41 | 22 | 19 | 50 |
5 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 25 | 12 | 4 | 9 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 40 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 25 | 9 | 11 | 5 | 34 | 27 | 7 | 38 |
7 | Casa Pia | 25 | 10 | 6 | 9 | 31 | 32 | -1 | 36 |
8 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 25 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 33 | 40 | -7 | 35 |
9 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 24 | 7 | 10 | 7 | 27 | 26 | 1 | 31 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 24 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 27 | 39 | -12 | 29 |
11 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 30 | 37 | -7 | 28 |
12 | AroucaArouca | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 24 | 38 | -14 | 28 |
13 | Nacional | 25 | 7 | 5 | 13 | 23 | 35 | -12 | 26 |
14 | Gil Vicente | 24 | 5 | 8 | 11 | 24 | 36 | -12 | 23 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 25 | 5 | 8 | 12 | 21 | 36 | -15 | 23 |
16 | AVS | 25 | 4 | 11 | 10 | 20 | 35 | -15 | 23 |
17 | SC FarenseFarense | 25 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 17 | 36 | -19 | 17 |
18 | BoavistaBoavista | 25 | 3 | 6 | 16 | 16 | 42 | -26 | 15 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |