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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Chaves
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 17
Jan 13, 2024 at 6pm UK
Estadio Municipal Eng. Manuel Branco Teixeira
Sporting Lisbon

Chaves
0 - 3
Sporting Lisbon


Correia (62')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Paulinho (44'), Trincao (52'), Goncalves (56')
Coates (71'), Gyokeres (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Chaves and Sporting Lisbon, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Chaves

All competitions
Last Game: Famalicao 2-2 Chaves
Sunday, January 7 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

Sporting Lisbon

All competitions
Primeira Liga
Last Game: Sporting Lisbon 4-0 Tondela
Tuesday, January 9 at 6.45pm in Taca de Portugal

We said: Chaves 1-3 Sporting Lisbon

 While Sporting's form on the road this season has not been as impressive as their home record, this match feels like it should be a guaranteed three points for the Lions. Chaves have shown signs of improvement in recent weeks, particularly at home, but we feel they will not be able to contain the champions-elect in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 69.69%. A draw had a probability of 17.9% and a win for Chaves had a probability of 12.41%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.92%) and 1-2 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.44%), while for a Chaves win it was 1-0 (3.69%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sporting Lisbon would win this match.

Result
ChavesDrawSporting Lisbon
12.41% (-0.055 -0.05) 17.9% (-0.047999999999998 -0.05) 69.69% (0.10300000000001 0.1)
Both teams to score 51.49% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.69% (0.084000000000003 0.08)39.3% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.36% (0.088000000000001 0.09)61.64% (-0.088000000000001 -0.09)
Chaves Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.31% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)42.68% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.98% (-0.029 -0.03)79.02% (0.028999999999996 0.03)
Sporting Lisbon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.83% (0.048000000000002 0.05)10.16% (-0.048 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
66.6% (0.11 0.11)33.4% (-0.11 -0.11)
Score Analysis
    Chaves 12.41%
    Sporting Lisbon 69.68%
    Draw 17.9%
ChavesDrawSporting Lisbon
1-0 @ 3.69% (-0.018 -0.02)
2-1 @ 3.6% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-0 @ 1.57% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.17% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 1.02% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 1.37%
Total : 12.41%
1-1 @ 8.44% (-0.023999999999999 -0.02)
0-0 @ 4.34% (-0.017 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.11% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
Other @ 1.01%
Total : 17.9%
0-2 @ 11.33%
0-1 @ 9.92% (-0.019 -0.02)
1-2 @ 9.65% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-3 @ 8.64% (0.02 0.02)
1-3 @ 7.36% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
0-4 @ 4.94% (0.021 0.02)
1-4 @ 4.21% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
2-3 @ 3.13% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-5 @ 2.26% (0.015 0.01)
1-5 @ 1.92% (0.01 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.79% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 4.53%
Total : 69.68%

How you voted: Chaves vs Sporting Lisbon

Chaves
5.3%
Draw
10.5%
Sporting Lisbon
84.2%
19
Head to Head
Feb 20, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 21
Chaves
2-3
Sporting Lisbon
Teixeira (34'), Hernandez (90+6')
Goncalves (8' pen., 61'), Santos (70')
> Preview
Aug 27, 2022 8.30pm
Gameweek 4
Sporting Lisbon
0-2
Chaves

Edwards (36'), Ugarte (45+3'), Goncalves (66'), Morita (73'), Coates (90+4')
Vitoria (60'), Juninho (63')
Pina (67'), Euller (82')
Fernandes (90+4')
> Preview
Mar 30, 2019 6pm
Gameweek 27
Chaves
1-3
Sporting Lisbon
Luis (60')
Jefferson (34'), Luis (40'), Niltinho (99'), Martins (99')
Jefferson (52')
Phellype (23', 101'), Fernandes (80')
Gudelj (37'), Gaspar (99')
Ristovski (87')
Nov 11, 2018 8pm
Gameweek 10
Sporting Lisbon
2-1
Chaves
Dost (23', 86' pen.)
Gudelj (45')
Niltinho (81')
William (83'), Paulinho (94')
Gallo (71')
Mar 12, 2018 7pm
Chaves
1-2
Sporting Lisbon
Platiny (91' pen.)
Dost (62', 86')
Ruiz (92')
rhs 2.0
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> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon77002522321
2Porto76011631318
3Benfica75111751216
4Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes741276113
5FamalicaoFamalicao733183512
6Santa ClaraSanta Clara6402108212
7Braga632184411
8MoreirenseMoreirense7223911-28
9Casa Pia722369-38
10Rio AveRio Ave621358-37
11AVS6213610-47
12Gil Vicente7142712-57
13Estoril PraiaEstoril7133410-66
14AroucaArouca7205312-96
15BoavistaBoavista612337-45
16Estrela Amadora7124510-55
17Nacional7124412-85
18SC FarenseFarense6006213-110
> Primeira Liga Full Table


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