MX23RW : Monday, December 23 13:00:56| >> :600:6111730:6111730:
Euro 2020 header take 8

Euro 2024
Austria national football team
Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage
Mar 24, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
 
Azerbaijan national football team

Austria
4 - 1
Azerbaijan

Sabitzer (27', 50'), Gregoritsch (29'), Baumgartner (69')
Wober (15')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Mahmudov (64')
Cafarquliyev (32'), Mahmudov (45'), Richard (45+3'), Silvestre (49'), Dadasov (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Euro Champ Qualifying clash between Austria and Azerbaijan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Austria

All competitions
Last Game: Austria 2-0 Italy
Sunday, November 20 at 7.45pm in International Friendlies

Azerbaijan

All competitions
Last Game: N. Macedonia 1-3 Azerbaijan
Sunday, November 20 at 1pm in International Friendlies

We said: Austria 2-0 Azerbaijan

 Having kept clean sheets in each of their friendly victories during November, Austria should be confident of holding Azerbaijan at arm's length at home on Friday. Although the visitors have won each of their last five matches, none of their opponents were at a level close to Austria's ability, suggesting that Rangnick's side should be able to kick-start their qualification campaign with a comfortable victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Austria win with a probability of 50.08%. A win for Azerbaijan had a probability of 24.96% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Austria win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.5%) and 2-0 (9.02%). The likeliest Azerbaijan win was 0-1 (7.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.86%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Austria would win this match.

Result
AustriaDrawAzerbaijan
50.08% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 24.95% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01) 24.96% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Both teams to score 51.95% (0.052 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.46% (0.059999999999995 0.06)50.53% (-0.062999999999995 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.54% (0.053000000000001 0.05)72.45% (-0.055999999999997 -0.06)
Austria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.81% (0.022000000000006 0.02)20.18% (-0.023999999999997 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.51% (0.034999999999997 0.03)52.48% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
Azerbaijan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.09% (0.045000000000002 0.05)34.91% (-0.046999999999997 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.35% (0.047000000000001 0.05)71.65% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    Austria 50.08%
    Azerbaijan 24.96%
    Draw 24.94%
AustriaDrawAzerbaijan
1-0 @ 11.27% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.5% (0.0019999999999989 0)
2-0 @ 9.02% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-1 @ 5.07% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
3-0 @ 4.81% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 2.67% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.03% (0.0029999999999997 0)
4-0 @ 1.93%
4-2 @ 1.07% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 50.08%
1-1 @ 11.86% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.05% (-0.018 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
3-3 @ 0.94% (0.003 0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 24.94%
0-1 @ 7.42% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
1-2 @ 6.25% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-2 @ 3.9%
1-3 @ 2.19% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 1.75% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-3 @ 1.37% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.09%
Total : 24.96%

How you voted: Austria vs Azerbaijan

Austria
74.5%
Draw
8.5%
Azerbaijan
17.0%
94
rhs 2.0
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