MX23RW : Monday, November 25 18:15:15| >> :600:3711388:3711388:
Cyprus national football team
Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage
Nov 16, 2023 at 5pm UK
Makareio Stadio
Spain national football team

Cyprus
1 - 3
Spain

Pileas (75')
Correia (17'), Karo (59'), Kousoulos (77'), Spoljaric (87')
FT(HT: 0-3)
Yamal (5'), Oyarzabal (22'), Joselu (28')
Riquelme (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Euro Champ Qualifying clash between Cyprus and Spain, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Spain could line up for Thursday's Euro 2024 qualifying Group A clash with Cyprus.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Last Game: Georgia 4-0 Cyprus
Sunday, October 15 at 2pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Current Group A Standings P GD PTS
1Spain61615
2Scotland6915
3Norway7210
4Georgia6-47
5Cyprus7-230
All competitions
Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: Norway 0-1 Spain
Sunday, October 15 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Current Group A Standings P GD PTS
1Spain61615
2Scotland6915
3Norway7210
4Georgia6-47
5Cyprus7-230

We said: Cyprus 0-4 Spain

De la Fuente may be tempted to tinker with a winning formula on Thursday against the group's basement boys, but while first place in the section is yet to be determined, the Spain head coach ought to go strong in the hope of another Cypriot crushing. The 4-0 scoreline certainly flattered Georgia in their recent contest with the hosts, but we can envisage an identical result in Limassol, where Spain should not suffer any similar scares en route to a seventh-straight win. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spain win with a probability of 89.85%. A draw had a probability of 7.7% and a win for Cyprus had a probability of 2.44%.

The most likely scoreline for a Spain win was 0-3 with a probability of 14.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (13.98%) and 0-4 (11.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.6%), while for a Cyprus win it was 1-0 (1.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Spain would win this match.

Result
CyprusDrawSpain
2.44% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 7.71% (-0.0221 -0.02) 89.85% (0.028000000000006 0.03)
Both teams to score 32.13% (0.052999999999997 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
69.48% (0.101 0.1)30.52% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
48.18% (0.12 0.12)51.82% (-0.116 -0.12)
Cyprus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
33.52% (0.048999999999999 0.05)66.48% (-0.045999999999992 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
6.38% (0.0201 0.02)93.62% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)
Spain Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
95.83% (0.022999999999996 0.02)4.17% (-0.02 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
82.59% (0.066000000000003 0.07)17.41% (-0.062999999999999 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    Cyprus 2.44%
    Spain 89.83%
    Draw 7.71%
CyprusDrawSpain
1-0 @ 1.13% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 1.31%
Total : 2.44%
1-1 @ 3.6% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-0 @ 2.77% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-2 @ 1.17% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 7.71%
0-3 @ 14.81% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-2 @ 13.98% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
0-4 @ 11.77% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-1 @ 8.8% (-0.035 -0.04)
0-5 @ 7.48% (0.016 0.02)
1-3 @ 6.05% (0.0039999999999996 0)
1-2 @ 5.71% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
1-4 @ 4.81% (0.011 0.01)
0-6 @ 3.96% (0.014 0.01)
1-5 @ 3.06% (0.011 0.01)
0-7 @ 1.8% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
1-6 @ 1.62% (0.008 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.24% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-4 @ 0.98% (0.004 0)
Other @ 3.76%
Total : 89.83%

How you voted: Cyprus vs Spain

Cyprus
13.5%
Draw
11.5%
Spain
75.0%
52
Head to Head
Sep 12, 2023 7.45pm
Group Stage
Spain
6-0
Cyprus
Gavi (18'), Merino (33'), Joselu (70'), Torres (73', 83'), Baena (77')
Pino (69')

Kastanos (45+2')
rhs 2.0
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