Euro 2024

Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage

Sep 8, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

AEK Arena - George Karapatakis

Cyprus
0 - 3
Scotland

Correia (8'), Pittas (57'), Ioannou (84')

FT(HT: 0-3)

McTominay (6'), Porteous (16'), McGinn (30')

Steve Clarke: 'Scotland will stay level-headed despite being on brink of Euro 2024'

Steve Clarke insists that Scotland will stay "level-headed" despite being on the brink of qualifying for Euro 2024 after cruising past Cyprus on Friday night.

Sep 9, 09:58

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Euro Champ Qualifying clash between Cyprus and Scotland, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cyprus

All competitions

Euro Champ Qualifying

Last Game: Norway 3-1 Cyprus
Tuesday, June 20 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

Current Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Scotland	4	8	12
2	Georgia	3	-1	4
3	Norway	4	-2	4
4	Spain	2	1	3
5	Cyprus	3	-6	0

Scotland

All competitions

Euro Champ Qualifying

Last Game: Scotland 2-0 Georgia
Tuesday, June 20 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

Current Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Scotland	4	8	12
2	Georgia	3	-1	4
3	Norway	4	-2	4
4	Spain	2	1	3
5	Cyprus	3	-6	0

Cyprus are capable of making this an uncomfortable match for Scotland, and we are backing the hosts to score, as they have talented players in the final third of the field. Clarke's side are on a roll at the moment, though, and we are expecting them to navigate their way to all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Scotland win with a probability of 60.62%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Cyprus had a probability of 15.85%.

The most likely scoreline for a Scotland win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.62%) and 1-2 (9.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.91%), while for a Cyprus win it was 1-0 (6.39%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Scotland would win this match.

Result
Cyprus	Draw	Scotland
15.85% ( -0.13)	23.53% ( -0.01)	60.62% ( 0.14)

Both teams to score 42.81% (

-0.23)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.31% (

-0.16)

55.68% (

0.16)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.17% (

-0.13)

76.83% (

0.14)

Cyprus Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

52.26% (

-0.27)

47.73% (

0.27)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

16.96% (

-0.2)

83.03% (

0.21)

Scotland Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.91% (

-0.01)

18.09% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.98% (

-0.02)

49.02% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

Cyprus 15.85%

Scotland 60.62%

Draw 23.52%

Cyprus	Draw	Scotland
1-0 @ 6.39% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 4.04% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 2.36% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 1% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.07% Total : 15.85%	1-1 @ 10.91% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 8.63% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 3.45% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.53% Total : 23.52%	0-1 @ 14.76% ( 0.09) 0-2 @ 12.62% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 9.34% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 7.19% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 5.32% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 3.08% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 2.27% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.97% ( -0.02) 0-5 @ 1.05% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.02% Total : 60.62%