We said: Cyprus 1-2 Scotland
Cyprus are capable of making this an uncomfortable match for Scotland, and we are backing the hosts to score, as they have talented players in the final third of the field. Clarke's side are on a roll at the moment, though, and we are expecting them to navigate their way to all three points.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Scotland win with a probability of 60.62%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Cyprus had a probability of 15.85%.
The most likely scoreline for a Scotland win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.62%) and 1-2 (9.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.91%), while for a Cyprus win it was 1-0 (6.39%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Scotland would win this match.