Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a England win with a probability of 51.47%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Ukraine had a probability of 22.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a England win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.04%) and 2-1 (9.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.13%), while for a Ukraine win it was 0-1 (7.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for England in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for England.
-0.77) 
0.28) 
