MX23RW : Tuesday, March 11 16:04:17| >> :60:241:241:
Spain national football team
Friendlies 1
Jun 8, 2024 at 8.30pm UK
Estadio Iberoamericano 2010
Northern Ireland national football team

Spain
5 - 1
N. Ireland

Pedri (12', 29'), Morata (18'), Ruiz (35'), Oyarzabal (60')
Le Normand (5')
FT(HT: 4-1)
Ballard (2')
Price (65')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's friendly clash between Spain and Northern Ireland, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Spain

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Spain 5-0 Andorra
Wednesday, June 5 at 8.30pm in International Friendlies

Northern Ireland

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Scotland 0-1 N. Ireland
Tuesday, March 26 at 7.45pm in International Friendlies

We said: Spain 3-1 Northern Ireland

 Northern Ireland are certainly capable of making this a tricky match for Spain, which is what La Roja will want in their final game before Euro 2024. The hosts will be able to call upon greater quality all across the pitch, though, and we are expecting them to have too much for their opponents on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spain win with a probability of 82.76%. A draw had a probability of 11.6% and a win for Northern Ireland had a probability of 5.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Spain win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.85%) and 1-0 (8.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.52%), while for a Northern Ireland win it was 0-1 (1.94%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Spain would win this match.

Result
SpainDrawNorthern Ireland
82.76% (0.00099999999999056 0) 11.64% (0.019 0.02) 5.6% (-0.0219 -0.02)
Both teams to score 44.19% (-0.251 -0.25)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.68% (-0.221 -0.22)32.32% (0.22000000000001 0.22)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
46.06% (-0.258 -0.26)53.94% (0.257 0.26)
Spain Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
94.24% (-0.043000000000006 -0.04)5.76% (0.041099999999999 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
77.8% (-0.119 -0.12)22.19% (0.118 0.12)
Northern Ireland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
46.88% (-0.245 -0.24)53.11% (0.243 0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
13.28% (-0.154 -0.15)86.72% (0.15300000000001 0.15)
Score Analysis
    Spain 82.75%
    Northern Ireland 5.6%
    Draw 11.64%
SpainDrawNorthern Ireland
2-0 @ 12.46% (0.090000000000002 0.09)
3-0 @ 11.85% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
1-0 @ 8.73% (0.081000000000001 0.08)
4-0 @ 8.46% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
2-1 @ 7.89% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 7.5% (-0.023000000000001 -0.02)
4-1 @ 5.35% (-0.03 -0.03)
5-0 @ 4.83% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
5-1 @ 3.06% (-0.025 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.37% (-0.024 -0.02)
6-0 @ 2.3% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.69% (-0.022 -0.02)
6-1 @ 1.45% (-0.016 -0.02)
5-2 @ 0.97% (-0.015 -0.02)
7-0 @ 0.94% (-0.0059999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 82.75%
1-1 @ 5.52% (0.011 0.01)
0-0 @ 3.06% (0.036 0.04)
2-2 @ 2.5% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 0.56%
Total : 11.64%
0-1 @ 1.94% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
1-2 @ 1.75% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 1.92%
Total : 5.6%

How you voted: Spain vs N. Ireland

Spain
71.2%
Draw
16.9%
Northern Ireland
11.9%
59
rhs 2.0
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