Euro 2024

European Championship | Group Stage

Jun 19, 2024 at 5pm UK

Mercedes-Benz-Arena

Germany
2 - 0
Hungary

Musiala (22'), Gundogan (67')
Rudiger (27'), Mittelstadt (89')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Varga (22'), Rossi (90+3'), Szoboszlai (90+3')

Julian Nagelsmann reacts as Germany book last-16 spot at Euro 2024

Germany manager Julian Nagelsmann says that it is the team's job to keep the fans dreaming of success at Euro 2024.

Jun 20, 10:14

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Germany

All competitions

European Championship

Last Game: Germany 5-1 Scotland
Friday, June 14 at 8pm in European Championship

Current Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Germany	1	4	3
2	Switzerland	1	2	3
3	Hungary	1	-2	0
4	Scotland	1	-4	0

Hungary

All competitions

European Championship

Last Game: Hungary 1-3 Switzerland
Saturday, June 15 at 2pm in European Championship

Current Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Germany	1	4	3
2	Switzerland	1	2	3
3	Hungary	1	-2	0
4	Scotland	1	-4	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Germany win with a probability of 48.18%. A win for Hungary had a probability of 27.8% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Germany win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.2%) and 2-0 (7.75%). The likeliest Hungary win was 1-2 (6.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Germany would win this match.

Result
Germany	Draw	Hungary
48.18% ( -0.01)	24.02% ( 0)	27.8% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 57.48% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.58% (

-0.01)

44.43% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.21% (

-0.01)

66.8% (

0.01)

Germany Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.44% (

-0.01)

18.56% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.18% (

-0.02)

49.82% (

0.02)

Hungary Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.57% (

-0)

29.43% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.58% (

-0)

65.43% (

Score Analysis

Germany 48.18%

Hungary 27.8%

Draw 24.02%

Germany	Draw	Hungary
2-1 @ 9.48% ( -0) 1-0 @ 9.2% ( 0) 2-0 @ 7.75% ( -0) 3-1 @ 5.32% ( -0) 3-0 @ 4.35% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.25% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.24% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.83% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.37% ( -0) Other @ 3.4% Total : 48.18%	1-1 @ 11.25% 2-2 @ 5.8% ( -0) 0-0 @ 5.46% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.33% ( -0) Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.02%	1-2 @ 6.88% ( 0) 0-1 @ 6.68% ( 0) 0-2 @ 4.09% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.81% 2-3 @ 2.36% 0-3 @ 1.67% ( 0) Other @ 3.31% Total : 27.8%