Euro 2024

European Championship | Group Stage

Jun 15, 2024 at 5pm UK

Olympiastadion Berlin

Spain
3 - 0
Croatia

Morata (29'), Ruiz (32'), Carvajal (45+2')
Rodri (78')

FT(HT: 3-0)

Barcelona's Lamine Yamal makes history with Spain outing at Euro 2024

Spain's Lamine Yamal becomes the youngest-ever player to feature in the finals of a European Championship at the age of 16 years and 338 days old.

Jun 15, 17:05

Spain coach Luis de la Fuente on October 12, 2023

Luis de la Fuente calls for calm after dominant Spain win at Euro 2024

Spain head coach Luis de la Fuente says that his side must remain focused after opening their Euro 2024 campaign with a 3-0 win over Croatia.

Jun 15, 20:20

Record-breaking Lamine Yamal reacts to historic appearance at Euro 2024

Spain's teenage star Lamine Yamal says that he was "thrilled" to play a key role in his country's success over Croatia at Euro 2024.

Jun 15, 20:32

Spain's Alvaro Morata celebrates scoring their first goal on June 15, 2024

Spain forward Alvaro Morata calms injury fears after withdrawal against Croatia

Spain captain Alvaro Morata says that his substitution against Croatia at Euro 2024 on Saturday was only precautionary.

Jun 15, 20:47

Spain's Fabian Ruiz in action with Croatia's Luka Modric on June 15, 2024

Luka Modric urges Croatia to move on quickly from three-goal Spain defeat

Croatia captain Luka Modric says that his side must move on quickly from their 3-0 defeat to Spain at Euro 2024.

Jun 15, 21:11

Croatia's Luka Modric pictured in June 2024

Croatia's Luka Modric equals Cristiano Ronaldo Euros record in Spain defeat

Luka Modric draws level with Cristiano Ronaldo for the most Euros tournaments played in, but the Croatia man could be surpassed in a matter of days.

Jun 16, 08:55

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Spain

All competitions

Last Game: Spain 5-1 N. Ireland
Saturday, June 8 at 8.30pm in International Friendlies

Current Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Italy	0	0	0
2	Spain	0	0	0
3	Croatia	0	0	0
4	Albania	0	0	0

Croatia

All competitions

Last Game: Portugal 1-2 Croatia
Saturday, June 8 at 5.45pm in International Friendlies

Current Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Italy	0	0	0
2	Spain	0	0	0
3	Croatia	0	0	0
4	Albania	0	0	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spain win with a probability of 52.3%. A win for Croatia had a probability of 23.96% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Spain win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.72%) and 2-0 (8.89%). The likeliest Croatia win was 0-1 (6.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.23%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Spain would win this match.

Result
Spain	Draw	Croatia
52.3% ( -0.22)	23.74% ( -0.04)	23.96% ( 0.26)

Both teams to score 54.72% (

0.43)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.65% (

0.43)

46.35% (

-0.42)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.36% (

0.4)

68.64% (

-0.4)

Spain Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.29% (

0.08)

17.7% (

-0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.64% (

0.13)

48.36% (

-0.13)

Croatia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.5% (

0.46)

33.5% (

-0.46)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.86% (

0.5)

70.14% (

-0.5)

Score Analysis

Spain 52.29%

Croatia 23.96%

Draw 23.74%

Spain	Draw	Croatia
1-0 @ 10.26% ( -0.16) 2-1 @ 9.72% ( -0) 2-0 @ 8.89% ( -0.12) 3-1 @ 5.61% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 5.13% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 3.07% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 2.43% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 2.22% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.33% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.64% Total : 52.29%	1-1 @ 11.23% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 5.93% ( -0.11) 2-2 @ 5.32% ( 0.06) 3-3 @ 1.12% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.14% Total : 23.74%	0-1 @ 6.49% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 6.14% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 3.55% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 2.24% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 1.94% ( 0.05) 0-3 @ 1.29% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.32% Total : 23.96%