MX23RW : Friday, June 21 19:23:57| >> :60:2836:2836:
Euro 2020 header take 8

Euro 2024
Spain national football team
European Championship | Group Stage
Jun 20, 2024 at 8pm UK
VELTINS-Arena
Italy national football team

Spain
1 - 0
Italy

Calafiori (55' og.)
Rodri (45+1'), Le Normand (69'), Carvajal (90+6')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Donnarumma (15'), Cristante (46')

The Match

Match Report

Spain put in an impressive display to claim a narrow 1-0 victory over Italy and seal their place in the last 16 at Euro 2024.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's European Championship clash between Spain and Italy, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Spain could line up for Thursday's Euro 2024 clash with Italy.

Form, Standings, Stats

Spain

All competitions
European Championship
Last Game: Spain 3-0 Croatia
Saturday, June 15 at 5pm in European Championship
Current Group B Standings P GD PTS
1Spain133
2Italy113
3Albania2-11
4Croatia2-31

Italy

All competitions
European Championship
Last Game: Italy 2-1 Albania
Saturday, June 15 at 8pm in European Championship
Current Group B Standings P GD PTS
1Spain133
2Italy113
3Albania2-11
4Croatia2-31

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spain win with a probability of 45.44%. A win for Italy had a probability of 29.99% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Spain win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.19%) and 2-0 (7.36%). The likeliest Italy win was 1-2 (7.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Spain would win this match.

Result
SpainDrawItaly
45.44% (0.075000000000003 0.08) 24.57% (0.271 0.27) 29.99% (-0.347 -0.35)
Both teams to score 57.11% (-1.128 -1.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.43% (-1.392 -1.39)45.57% (1.393 1.39)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.1% (-1.341 -1.34)67.9% (1.341 1.34)
Spain Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.84% (-0.533 -0.53)20.16% (0.533 0.53)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.56% (-0.861 -0.86)52.44% (0.861 0.86)
Italy Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.53% (-0.929 -0.93)28.47% (0.929 0.93)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.76% (-1.18 -1.18)64.24% (1.181 1.18)
Score Analysis
    Spain 45.44%
    Italy 29.99%
    Draw 24.56%
SpainDrawItaly
2-1 @ 9.25% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
1-0 @ 9.19% (0.391 0.39)
2-0 @ 7.36% (0.194 0.19)
3-1 @ 4.94% (-0.079 -0.08)
3-0 @ 3.93% (0.04 0.04)
3-2 @ 3.1% (-0.133 -0.13)
4-1 @ 1.98% (-0.065 -0.06)
4-0 @ 1.57% (-0.01 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.24% (-0.075 -0.08)
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 45.44%
1-1 @ 11.54% (0.2 0.2)
2-2 @ 5.81% (-0.149 -0.15)
0-0 @ 5.74% (0.334 0.33)
3-3 @ 1.3% (-0.091 -0.09)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.56%
1-2 @ 7.25% (-0.064 -0.06)
0-1 @ 7.21% (0.24 0.24)
0-2 @ 4.53% (0.036 0.04)
1-3 @ 3.04% (-0.107 -0.11)
2-3 @ 2.43% (-0.128 -0.13)
0-3 @ 1.9% (-0.035 -0.04)
1-4 @ 0.95% (-0.06 -0.06)
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 29.99%

How you voted: Spain vs Italy

Spain
60.6%
Draw
20.3%
Italy
19.1%
955
Head to Head
Jun 15, 2023 7.45pm
Semi-Finals
Spain
2-1
Italy
Pino (3'), Joselu (88')
Alba (45+1'), Gavi (57'), Morata (83')
Immobile (11' pen.)
Immobile (38'), Zaniolo (90+3')
> Match Report
Oct 6, 2021 7.45pm
Semi-Finals
Italy
1-2
Spain
Pellegrini (83')
Bonucci (30'), Locatelli (82')
Bonucci (42')
Torres (17', 45+2')
Azpilicueta (45'), Sarabia (65'), Pino (71'), Oyarzabal (89')
> Preview
Jul 6, 2021 8pm
Semi-Finals
Italy
1-1
Spain
(Aggregate 1-1 | Italy win 4-2 on penalties)
Chiesa (60')
Toloi (97'), Bonucci (118')
Morata (80')
Busquets (51')
> Match Report
Sep 2, 2017 7.45pm
Group Stage
Spain
3-0
Italy
Isco (13', 40'), Morata (77')
> Match Report
Oct 6, 2016 7.45pm
Group Stage
Italy
1-1
Spain
De Rossi (82' pen.)
Vitolo (55')
> Match Report
rhs 2.0
Euro 2024 fixtures header
Saturday, June 22
 
2pm
Group Stage
Georgia
vs.
Czech Republic
> Preview
 
5pm
Group Stage
Turkey
vs.
Portugal
> Preview
 
8pm
Group Stage
Belgium
vs.
Romania
> Preview
Sunday, June 23
 
8pm
Group Stage
Scotland
vs.
Hungary
 
8pm
Group Stage
Switzerland
vs.
Germany
Monday, June 24
 
8pm
Group Stage
Albania
vs.
Spain
 
8pm
Group Stage
Croatia
vs.
Italy
Tuesday, June 25
 
5pm
Group Stage
France
vs.
Poland
 
5pm
Group Stage
Netherlands
vs.
Austria
 
8pm
Group Stage
Denmark
vs.
Serbia
 
8pm
Group Stage
England
vs.
Slovenia
Wednesday, June 26
 
5pm
Group Stage
Slovakia
vs.
Romania
 
5pm
Group Stage
Ukraine
vs.
Belgium
 
8pm
Group Stage
Czech Republic
vs.
Turkey
 
8pm
Group Stage
Georgia
vs.
Portugal
Saturday, June 29
 
5pm
Round of 16
2nd Group A
vs.
2nd Group B
 
8pm
Round of 16
1st Group A
vs.
2nd Group C
Sunday, June 30
 
5pm
Round of 16
1st Group C
vs.
3rd Group D/E/F
 
8pm
Round of 16
Spain
vs.
3rd Group A/D/E/F
Monday, July 1
 
5pm
Round of 16
2nd Group D
vs.
2nd Group E
 
8pm
Round of 16
1st Group F
vs.
3rd Group A/B/C
Tuesday, July 2
 
5pm
Round of 16
1st Group E
vs.
3rd Group A/B/C/D
 
8pm
Round of 16
1st Group D
vs.
2nd Group F
Friday, July 5
 
5pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 39
vs.
Winner Match 37
 
8pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 41
vs.
Winner Match 42
Saturday, July 6
 
5pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 40
vs.
Winner Match 38
 
8pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 43
vs.
Winner Match 44
Tuesday, July 9
 
8pm
Semi-Finals
Winner Quarter-final 1
vs.
Winner Quarter-final 2
Wednesday, July 10
 
8pm
Semi-Finals
Winner Quarter-final 3
vs.
Winner Quarter-final 4
Sunday, July 14
 
8pm
Final
Winner SF1
vs.
Winner SF2
> View full version> Results
Tables header RHS

Group A

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Germany Germany22006
2 Switzerland Switzerland21104
3 Scotland flag Scotland20111
4 Hungary Hungary20020

Group B

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Spain Spain22006
2 Italy Italy21013
3 Albania national flag Albania20111
4 Croatia Croatia20111

Group C

TeamPWDLPTS
1 England flag England21104
2 Denmark Denmark20202
3 Slovenia Slovenia20202
4 Serbia Serbia20111

Group D

TeamPWDLPTS
1 France France11003
2 Austria Austria21013
3 Netherlands Netherlands11003
4 Poland Poland20020

Group E

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Romania Romania11003
2 Ukraine Ukraine21013
3 Slovakia Slovakia21013
4 Belgium Belgium10010

Group F

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Turkey Turkey11003
2 Portugal Portugal11003
3 Czech Republic Czech Republic10010
4 Georgia Georgia10010
> European Championship 2024 overview


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