UEFA Nations League

Nations League | League A

Sep 3, 2020 at 7.45pm UK

Mercedes-Benz-Arena

Germany
1 - 1
Spain

Werner (51')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Gaya (90+6')

UEFA Nations League roundup: Jose Gaya nets late leveller for Spain against Germany

Wales kicked off their Nations League campaign with a win in Finland.

Sep 3, 23:13

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's UEFA Nations League clash between Germany and Spain, including team news and predicted lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Ahead of Spain's UEFA Nations League clash with Germany in Stuttgart, Sports Mole looks at how La Roja could line up.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spain win with a probability of 39.28%. A win for Germany had a probability of 36.66% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Spain win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.37%) and 0-2 (5.73%). The likeliest Germany win was 2-1 (8.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11% likelihood.

Result
Germany	Draw	Spain
36.66%	24.06%	39.28%

Both teams to score 61.18%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.77%

41.23%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.38%

63.62%

Germany Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.57%

22.44%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.04%

55.97%

Spain Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.87%

21.13%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.03%

53.98%

Score Analysis

Germany 36.66%

Spain 39.28%

Draw 24.06%

Germany	Draw	Spain
2-1 @ 8.23% 1-0 @ 7.09% 2-0 @ 5.29% 3-1 @ 4.1% 3-2 @ 3.19% 3-0 @ 2.64% 4-1 @ 1.53% 4-2 @ 1.19% 4-0 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.42% Total : 36.66%	1-1 @ 11.01% 2-2 @ 6.4% 0-0 @ 4.74% 3-3 @ 1.65% Other @ 0.26% Total : 24.06%	1-2 @ 8.56% 0-1 @ 7.37% 0-2 @ 5.73% 1-3 @ 4.44% 2-3 @ 3.32% 0-3 @ 2.97% 1-4 @ 1.72% 2-4 @ 1.29% 0-4 @ 1.15% Other @ 2.74% Total : 39.28%