The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Friday's friendly clash between Germany and Greece, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Predicted Lineups
Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Germany could line up for Friday's friendly clash with Greece.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Germany 0-0 Ukraine
Monday, June 3 at 7.45pm in International Friendlies
Monday, June 3 at 7.45pm in International Friendlies
Current Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | Scotland | 0 | 0 | 0 |
2 | Germany | 0 | 0 | 0 |
3 | Hungary | 0 | 0 | 0 |
4 | Switzerland | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Last Game: Georgia 0-0 Greece (4-3 pen.)
Tuesday, March 26 at 5pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Tuesday, March 26 at 5pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Current Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | France | 8 | 26 | 22 |
2 | Netherlands | 8 | 10 | 18 |
3 | Greece | 8 | 6 | 13 |
4 | Republic of Ireland | 8 | -1 | 6 |
5 | Gibraltar | 8 | -41 | 0 |
We said: Germany 2-0 Greece
After failing to find the net on Monday, Germany will be keen to rediscover their groove in the final third in their last match before kicking off Euro 2024. Boasting a full squad, Nagelsmann may be tempted to tinker with his selection in a few positions, but whichever lineup that he selects should be strong enough to come out on top against a Greece side who have both lost and not scored in three of their last four away games. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Germany win with a probability of 42.07%. A win for Greece had a probability of 32.69% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Germany win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.9%) and 2-0 (6.92%). The likeliest Greece win was 0-1 (7.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.92%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Germany would win this match.
Result | ||
Germany | Draw | Greece |
42.07% ( -0.07) | 25.24% ( -0.01) | 32.69% ( 0.08) |
Both teams to score 56.09% ( 0.06) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.53% ( 0.06) | 47.47% ( -0.06) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.32% ( 0.05) | 69.68% ( -0.06) |
Germany Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.52% ( -0.01) | 22.48% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.96% ( -0.01) | 56.04% ( 0.01) |
Greece Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.36% ( 0.08) | 27.64% ( -0.08) |