FA Cup | Fifth Round
Feb 28, 2025 at 8pm UK
Villa Park
Aston Villa2 - 0Cardiff
Asensio (68', 80')
FT(HT: 0-0)
The Match
Match Report
Marcos Asensio scores a second-half brace to guide Aston Villa past Championship side Cardiff City in the FA Cup fifth round.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Friday's FA Cup clash between Aston Villa and Cardiff City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Crystal Palace 4-1 Aston Villa
Tuesday, February 25 at 7.30pm in Premier League
Tuesday, February 25 at 7.30pm in Premier League
Goals
for
for
40
Last Game: Cardiff 1-0 Hull City
Tuesday, February 25 at 7.45pm in Championship
Tuesday, February 25 at 7.45pm in Championship
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 54.79%. A win for Cardiff City had a probability of 22.61% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.45%) and 2-0 (8.81%). The likeliest Cardiff City win was 1-2 (5.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Aston Villa would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Aston Villa | Draw | Cardiff City |
54.79% ( -0.13) | 22.6% ( 0.02) | 22.61% ( 0.11) |
| Both teams to score 56.86% ( 0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
