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Premier League | Gameweek 26
Feb 22, 2025 at 5.30pm UK
Villa Park
Chelsea logo

Aston Villa
2 - 1
Chelsea

Asensio (57', 89')
McGinn (69')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Fernandez (9')
Fernandez (56'), Nkunku (72'), Caicedo (89')

The Match

Match Report

Aston Villa deal a major blow to Chelsea's hopes of qualifying for next season's Champions League, with the Villans beating the Blues 2-1 at Villa Park.

Team News

Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Saturday's Premier League clash between Aston Villa and Chelsea.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Aston Villa and Chelsea, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Aston Villa could line up for Saturday's Premier League clash with Chelsea.

Injuries & Suspensions

Sports Mole rounds up all of Chelsea's latest injury and suspension news ahead of Saturday's Premier League fixture against Aston Villa.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Aston Villa 2-2 Liverpool
Wednesday, February 19 at 7.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Brighton 3-0 Chelsea
Friday, February 14 at 8pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 42.97%. A win for Chelsea had a probability of 33.89% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.78%) and 2-0 (5.85%). The likeliest Chelsea win was 1-2 (7.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Aston Villa in this match.

Result
Aston VillaDrawChelsea
42.97% (0.014999999999993 0.01) 23.14% (-0.0019999999999989 -0) 33.89% (-0.012 -0.01)
Both teams to score 64.07% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.79% (0.010999999999996 0.01)37.21% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.58% (0.011000000000003 0.01)59.42% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Aston Villa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.2% (0.010999999999996 0.01)17.8% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.47% (0.018999999999998 0.02)48.53% (-0.014999999999993 -0.01)
Chelsea Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.94% (-0.00099999999999056 -0)22.05% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.61% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)55.39% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Aston Villa 42.97%
    Chelsea 33.89%
    Draw 23.14%
Aston VillaDrawChelsea
2-1 @ 8.84% (0.0010000000000012 0)
1-0 @ 6.78% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-0 @ 5.85% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-1 @ 5.09% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 3.84% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 3.36% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-1 @ 2.19% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-2 @ 1.66% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 1.45% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 3.92%
Total : 42.97%
1-1 @ 10.24%
2-2 @ 6.68% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-0 @ 3.93% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-3 @ 1.94% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.35%
Total : 23.14%
1-2 @ 7.74% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-1 @ 5.94% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 4.49% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
1-3 @ 3.9% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-3 @ 3.37%
0-3 @ 2.26% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-4 @ 1.47% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
2-4 @ 1.27%
Other @ 3.45%
Total : 33.89%

How you voted: Aston Villa vs Chelsea

Aston Villa
57.9%
Draw
22.5%
Chelsea
19.6%
240
Head to Head
Dec 1, 2024 1.30pm
Gameweek 13
Chelsea
3-0
Aston Villa
Jackson (7'), Fernandez (36'), Palmer (83')
Madueke (85'), Felix (89')

Philogene-Bidace (54'), Cash (61')
Apr 27, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 35
Aston Villa
2-2
Chelsea
Cucurella (4' og.), Rogers (42')
Luiz (49'), Rogers (64'), Bailey (66')
Madueke (62'), Gallagher (81')
Caicedo (49'), Mudryk (82'), Silva (87'), Badiashile (90+10'), Madueke (90+10')
Feb 7, 2024 8pm
Fourth Round Replays
Aston Villa
1-3
Chelsea
Diaby (90+1')
Carlos (38')
Gallagher (11'), Jackson (21'), Fernandez (54')
Fernandez (55'), Petrovic (76')
Jan 26, 2024 7.45pm
Fourth Round
Chelsea
0-0
Aston Villa
Silva (9')
Tielemans (46')
Sep 24, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 6
Chelsea
0-1
Aston Villa

Jackson (50'), Chilwell (90')
Gusto (58')
Watkins (73')
Digne (44'), Martinez (90+4'), Luiz (90+1')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool29217169274270
2Arsenal281510352242855
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest28156745331251
4Chelsea28147753361749
5Manchester CityMan City28145953381547
6Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton28121064640646
7Aston Villa2912984145-445
8Bournemouth28128847341344
9Newcastle UnitedNewcastle2713594638844
10Fulham2811984138342
11Crystal Palace2810993633339
12Brentford28115124844438
13Tottenham HotspurSpurs281041455411434
14Manchester UnitedMan Utd2897123440-634
15Everton2871293135-433
16West Ham UnitedWest Ham2796123247-1533
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2865173857-1923
18Ipswich TownIpswich2838172658-3217
19Leicester CityLeicester2845192562-3717
20Southampton2823232068-489


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