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Premier League | Gameweek 17
Dec 17, 2023 at 2pm UK
Brentford Community Stadium
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Brentford
1 - 2
Aston Villa

Lewis-Potter (45')
Norgaard (46'), Frank (47'), Ghoddos (86'), Janelt (88'), Onyeka (90'), Maupay (90+1'), Yarmolyuk (90+8')
Mee (71')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Moreno (77'), Watkins (85')
Bailey (80'), Konsa (86'), Duran (87'), Emery (90+8'), Martinez (90+8')
Kamara (90+7')

The Match

Match Report

Aston Villa come from behind to record a 2-1 victory over Brentford in Sunday afternoon's Premier League clash.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Premier League clash between Brentford and Aston Villa, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Brentford

All competitions
Last Game: Sheff Utd 1-0 Brentford
Saturday, December 9 at 3pm in Premier League

Aston Villa

All competitions
Premier League
Last Game: Zrinjski Mostar 1-1 Aston Villa
Thursday, December 14 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 39.74%. A win for Brentford had a probability of 35.97% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.7%) and 0-2 (5.93%). The likeliest Brentford win was 2-1 (8.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Aston Villa in this match.

Result
BrentfordDrawAston Villa
35.97% (0.327 0.33) 24.29% (-0.273 -0.27) 39.74% (-0.050999999999995 -0.05)
Both teams to score 60.26% (1.048 1.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.61% (1.341 1.34)42.39% (-1.336 -1.34)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.2% (1.326 1.33)64.8% (-1.321 -1.32)
Brentford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.67% (0.79599999999999 0.8)23.33% (-0.792 -0.79)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.72% (1.141 1.14)57.28% (-1.137 -1.14)
Aston Villa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.59% (0.559 0.56)21.41% (-0.556 -0.56)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.59% (0.852 0.85)54.41% (-0.847 -0.85)
Score Analysis
    Brentford 35.97%
    Aston Villa 39.74%
    Draw 24.29%
BrentfordDrawAston Villa
2-1 @ 8.16% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
1-0 @ 7.27% (-0.265 -0.27)
2-0 @ 5.29% (-0.068 -0.07)
3-1 @ 3.96% (0.107 0.11)
3-2 @ 3.05% (0.131 0.13)
3-0 @ 2.57% (0.027 0.03)
4-1 @ 1.44% (0.071 0.07)
4-2 @ 1.11% (0.073 0.07)
4-0 @ 0.93% (0.031 0.03)
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 35.97%
1-1 @ 11.2% (-0.22 -0.22)
2-2 @ 6.28% (0.13 0.13)
0-0 @ 5% (-0.303 -0.3)
3-3 @ 1.57% (0.092 0.09)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 24.29%
1-2 @ 8.64% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-1 @ 7.7% (-0.332 -0.33)
0-2 @ 5.93% (-0.153 -0.15)
1-3 @ 4.44% (0.064 0.06)
2-3 @ 3.23% (0.119 0.12)
0-3 @ 3.05% (-0.027 -0.03)
1-4 @ 1.71% (0.053 0.05)
2-4 @ 1.24% (0.066 0.07)
0-4 @ 1.17% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 39.74%

How you voted: Brentford vs Aston Villa

Brentford
16.1%
Draw
14.4%
Aston Villa
69.5%
118
Head to Head
Jul 30, 2023 5pm
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Aston Villa
3-3
Brentford
Konsa (27'), Diaby (32'), Cash (37')
(0')
Mbeumo (9' pen.), Dasilva (22'), Baptiste (66')
> Preview
Apr 22, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 32
Brentford
1-1
Aston Villa
Toney (65')
Luiz (87')
> Match Report
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Gameweek 13
Aston Villa
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Brentford
Bailey (2'), Ings (7', 14' pen.), Watkins (59')
> Preview
Jan 2, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 21
Brentford
2-1
Aston Villa
Wissa (42'), Roerslev (83')
Onyeka (31'), Toney (77')
Ings (16')
Ramsey (30'), McGinn (89')
> Preview
Aug 28, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 3
Aston Villa
1-1
Brentford
Buendia (13')
El Ghazi (50'), Cash (61'), Ings (72')
Toney (7')
Toney (52'), Norgaard (60'), Janelt (75')
> Match Report
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool29217169274270
2Arsenal281510352242855
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest28156745331251
4Chelsea28147753361749
5Manchester CityMan City28145953381547
6Newcastle UnitedNewcastle2814594738947
7Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton28121064640646
8Aston Villa2912984145-445
9Bournemouth28128847341344
10Fulham2811984138342
11Crystal Palace2810993633339
12Brentford28115124844438
13Tottenham HotspurSpurs281041455411434
14Manchester UnitedMan Utd2897123440-634
15Everton2871293135-433
16West Ham UnitedWest Ham2896133248-1633
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2865173857-1923
18Ipswich TownIpswich2838172658-3217
19Leicester CityLeicester2845192562-3717
20Southampton2823232068-489
> Premier League Full Table


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