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Premier League | Gameweek 17
Dec 17, 2023 at 2pm UK
Brentford Community Stadium
Aston Villa logo

Brentford
1 - 2
Aston Villa

Lewis-Potter (45')
Norgaard (46'), Frank (47'), Ghoddos (86'), Janelt (88'), Onyeka (90'), Maupay (90+1'), Yarmolyuk (90+8')
Mee (71')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Moreno (77'), Watkins (85')
Bailey (80'), Konsa (86'), Duran (87'), Emery (90+8'), Martinez (90+8')
Kamara (90+7')

The Match

Match Report

Aston Villa come from behind to record a 2-1 victory over Brentford in Sunday afternoon's Premier League clash.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Premier League clash between Brentford and Aston Villa, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sheff Utd 1-0 Brentford
Saturday, December 9 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Zrinjski Mostar 1-1 Aston Villa
Thursday, December 14 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 39.74%. A win for Brentford had a probability of 35.97% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.7%) and 0-2 (5.93%). The likeliest Brentford win was 2-1 (8.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Aston Villa in this match.

Result
BrentfordDrawAston Villa
35.97% (0.327 0.33) 24.29% (-0.273 -0.27) 39.74% (-0.050999999999995 -0.05)
Both teams to score 60.26% (1.048 1.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.61% (1.341 1.34)42.39% (-1.336 -1.34)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.2% (1.326 1.33)64.8% (-1.321 -1.32)
Brentford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.67% (0.79599999999999 0.8)23.33% (-0.792 -0.79)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.72% (1.141 1.14)57.28% (-1.137 -1.14)
Aston Villa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.59% (0.559 0.56)21.41% (-0.556 -0.56)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.59% (0.852 0.85)54.41% (-0.847 -0.85)
Score Analysis
    Brentford 35.97%
    Aston Villa 39.74%
    Draw 24.29%
BrentfordDrawAston Villa
2-1 @ 8.16% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
1-0 @ 7.27% (-0.265 -0.27)
2-0 @ 5.29% (-0.068 -0.07)
3-1 @ 3.96% (0.107 0.11)
3-2 @ 3.05% (0.131 0.13)
3-0 @ 2.57% (0.027 0.03)
4-1 @ 1.44% (0.071 0.07)
4-2 @ 1.11% (0.073 0.07)
4-0 @ 0.93% (0.031 0.03)
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 35.97%
1-1 @ 11.2% (-0.22 -0.22)
2-2 @ 6.28% (0.13 0.13)
0-0 @ 5% (-0.303 -0.3)
3-3 @ 1.57% (0.092 0.09)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 24.29%
1-2 @ 8.64% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-1 @ 7.7% (-0.332 -0.33)
0-2 @ 5.93% (-0.153 -0.15)
1-3 @ 4.44% (0.064 0.06)
2-3 @ 3.23% (0.119 0.12)
0-3 @ 3.05% (-0.027 -0.03)
1-4 @ 1.71% (0.053 0.05)
2-4 @ 1.24% (0.066 0.07)
0-4 @ 1.17% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 39.74%

How you voted: Brentford vs Aston Villa

Brentford
16.1%
Draw
14.4%
Aston Villa
69.5%
118
Head to Head
Jul 30, 2023 5pm
Club Friendlies
Aston Villa
3-3
Brentford
Konsa (27'), Diaby (32'), Cash (37')
(0')
Mbeumo (9' pen.), Dasilva (22'), Baptiste (66')
Apr 22, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 32
Brentford
1-1
Aston Villa
Toney (65')
Luiz (87')
Oct 23, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 13
Aston Villa
4-0
Brentford
Bailey (2'), Ings (7', 14' pen.), Watkins (59')
Jan 2, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 21
Brentford
2-1
Aston Villa
Wissa (42'), Roerslev (83')
Onyeka (31'), Toney (77')
Ings (16')
Ramsey (30'), McGinn (89')
Aug 28, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 3
Aston Villa
1-1
Brentford
Buendia (13')
El Ghazi (50'), Cash (61'), Ings (72')
Toney (7')
Toney (52'), Norgaard (60'), Janelt (75')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool15113131131836
2Chelsea16104237191834
3Arsenal1796234161833
4Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest179442319431
5Aston Villa178452626028
6Manchester CityMan City178362925427
7Newcastle UnitedNewcastle177552721626
8Bournemouth167452421325
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton176742726125
10Fulham166642422224
11Tottenham HotspurSpurs1672736191723
12Brentford177283232023
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd166462119222
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham175572230-820
15Crystal Palace173771826-816
16Everton153661421-715
17Leicester CityLeicester163582134-1314
18Ipswich TownIpswich172691632-1612
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1623112440-169
20Southampton1612131136-255


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