Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 39.74%. A win for Brentford had a probability of 35.97% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.7%) and 0-2 (5.93%). The likeliest Brentford win was 2-1 (8.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Aston Villa in this match.
Result | ||
Brentford | Draw | Aston Villa |
35.97% ( 0.33) | 24.29% ( -0.27) | 39.74% ( -0.05) |
Both teams to score 60.26% ( 1.05) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.61% ( 1.34) | 42.39% ( -1.34) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.2% ( 1.33) | 64.8% ( -1.32) |
Brentford Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.67% ( 0.8) | 23.33% ( -0.79) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.72% ( 1.14) | 57.28% ( -1.14) |
Aston Villa Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.59% ( 0.56) | 21.41% ( -0.56) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.59% ( 0.85) | 54.41% ( -0.85) |
Score Analysis |
Brentford | Draw | Aston Villa |
2-1 @ 8.16% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 7.27% ( -0.27) 2-0 @ 5.29% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 3.96% ( 0.11) 3-2 @ 3.05% ( 0.13) 3-0 @ 2.57% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 1.44% ( 0.07) 4-2 @ 1.11% ( 0.07) 4-0 @ 0.93% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.2% Total : 35.97% | 1-1 @ 11.2% ( -0.22) 2-2 @ 6.28% ( 0.13) 0-0 @ 5% ( -0.3) 3-3 @ 1.57% ( 0.09) Other @ 0.24% Total : 24.29% | 1-2 @ 8.64% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 7.7% ( -0.33) 0-2 @ 5.93% ( -0.15) 1-3 @ 4.44% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 3.23% ( 0.12) 0-3 @ 3.05% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 1.71% ( 0.05) 2-4 @ 1.24% ( 0.07) 0-4 @ 1.17% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.63% Total : 39.74% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Liverpool | 15 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 31 | 13 | 18 | 36 |
2 | Chelsea | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 37 | 19 | 18 | 34 |
3 | Arsenal | 17 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 34 | 16 | 18 | 33 |
4 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 31 |
5 | Aston Villa | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 28 |
6 | Manchester CityMan City | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 29 | 25 | 4 | 27 |
7 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 27 | 21 | 6 | 26 |
8 | Bournemouth | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 24 | 21 | 3 | 25 |
9 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 27 | 26 | 1 | 25 |
10 | Fulham | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 24 | 22 | 2 | 24 |
11 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 36 | 19 | 17 | 23 |
12 | Brentford | 17 | 7 | 2 | 8 | 32 | 32 | 0 | 23 |
13 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 22 |
14 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 30 | -8 | 20 |
15 | Crystal Palace | 17 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 26 | -8 | 16 |
16 | Everton | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 15 |
17 | Leicester CityLeicester | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 34 | -13 | 14 |
18 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 17 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 16 | 32 | -16 | 12 |
19 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 16 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 24 | 40 | -16 | 9 |
20 | Southampton | 16 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 11 | 36 | -25 | 5 |
> Premier League Full Table |