MX23RW : Wednesday, December 18 03:29:37| >> :60:1833:1833:
Aston Villa logo
Friendlies
Dec 11, 2022 at 2.10pm UK
Villa Park
Chelsea logo

Aston Villa
1 - 0
Chelsea

McGinn (7')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Brooking (66')

The Match

Match Report

Chelsea lose 1-0 to Aston Villa in their mid-season friendly in Abu Dhabi, with John McGinn's first-half effort proving to be the difference.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's friendly between Aston Villa and Chelsea, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole looks at how Chelsea could line up in Sunday's mid-season friendly with Aston Villa.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Aston Villa 2-2 Brighton
Thursday, December 8 at 1pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Newcastle 1-0 Chelsea
Saturday, November 12 at 5.30pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 40.62%. A win for Aston Villa had a probability of 34.48% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.57%) and 0-2 (6.43%). The likeliest Aston Villa win was 2-1 (7.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.

Result
Aston VillaDrawChelsea
34.48% (0.046999999999997 0.05) 24.9% (0.015000000000001 0.02) 40.62% (-0.061 -0.06)
Both teams to score 57.78% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.5% (-0.058 -0.06)45.5% (0.059999999999995 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.17% (-0.055 -0.05)67.83% (0.057000000000002 0.06)
Aston Villa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.39% (0.0010000000000048 0)25.61% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.51% (0.0030000000000001 0)60.49%
Chelsea Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.66% (-0.054999999999993 -0.05)22.34% (0.056999999999999 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.18% (-0.083000000000006 -0.08)55.82% (0.085000000000001 0.09)
Score Analysis
    Aston Villa 34.48%
    Chelsea 40.62%
    Draw 24.9%
Aston VillaDrawChelsea
2-1 @ 7.96% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
1-0 @ 7.79% (0.02 0.02)
2-0 @ 5.31% (0.013 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.61% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 2.71% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 2.41% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.23% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 0.92% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 34.48%
1-1 @ 11.68% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.96% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-0 @ 5.72% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.35% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.9%
1-2 @ 8.75% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
0-1 @ 8.57% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
0-2 @ 6.43% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-3 @ 4.37% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-3 @ 3.21% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.98% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.64% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.2% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-4 @ 1.12% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 40.62%

How you voted: Aston Villa vs Chelsea

Aston Villa
25.6%
Draw
10.3%
Chelsea
64.1%
39
Head to Head
Oct 16, 2022 2pm
Dec 26, 2021 5.30pm
Aston Villa
1-3
Chelsea
James (28' og.)
Martinez (33'), Mings (65'), Konsa (90+2')
Jorginho (34' pen., 90+3'), Lukaku (56')
Alonso (70')
Sep 22, 2021 7.45pm
Third Round
Chelsea
1-1
Aston Villa
Chelsea win 4-3 on penalties
Werner (54')
Sarr (31'), James (90+2')
Archer (64')
Young (86')
Sep 11, 2021 5.30pm
Chelsea
3-0
Aston Villa
Lukaku (15', 90+3'), Kovacic (49')
Alonso (61')

Ramsey (8'), Mings (28'), McGinn (90'), Targett (90')
May 23, 2021 4pm
Aston Villa
2-1
Chelsea
Traore (43'), El Ghazi (52' pen.)
McGinn (65'), Nakamba (74'), Martinez (81')
Chilwell (70')
Jorginho (45'), Werner (45+2'), Kovacic (49'), Arrizabalaga (90+5')
Azpilicueta (89')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool15113131131836
2Chelsea16104237191834
3Arsenal1686229151430
4Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest168442119228
5Manchester CityMan City168352823527
6Bournemouth167452421325
7Aston Villa167452425-125
8Fulham166642422224
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton166642625124
10Tottenham HotspurSpurs1672736191723
11Brentford167273230223
12Newcastle UnitedNewcastle166552321223
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd166462119222
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham165472129-819
15Crystal Palace163761721-416
16Everton153661421-715
17Leicester CityLeicester163582134-1314
18Ipswich TownIpswich162681628-1212
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1623112440-169
20Southampton1612131136-255


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