Friendlies
Dec 11, 2022 at 2.10pm UK
Villa Park
Aston Villa1 - 0Chelsea
The Match
Match Report
Chelsea lose 1-0 to Aston Villa in their mid-season friendly in Abu Dhabi, with John McGinn's first-half effort proving to be the difference.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Sunday's friendly between Aston Villa and Chelsea, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Predicted Lineups
Sports Mole looks at how Chelsea could line up in Sunday's mid-season friendly with Aston Villa.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Aston Villa 2-2 Brighton
Thursday, December 8 at 1pm in Club Friendlies 1
Thursday, December 8 at 1pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Newcastle 1-0 Chelsea
Saturday, November 12 at 5.30pm in Premier League
Saturday, November 12 at 5.30pm in Premier League
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 40.62%. A win for Aston Villa had a probability of 34.48% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.57%) and 0-2 (6.43%). The likeliest Aston Villa win was 2-1 (7.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Aston Villa | Draw | Chelsea |
34.48% ( 0.05) | 24.9% ( 0.02) | 40.62% ( -0.06) |
| Both teams to score 57.78% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
