FA Cup | First Round
Nov 5, 2022 at 3pm UK
Alexandra Stadium
Crewe1 - 0Leyton Orient
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Crewe 0-0 Leeds U21s (2-1 pen.)
Tuesday, November 1 at 7.15pm in EFL Trophy
Tuesday, November 1 at 7.15pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Leyton Orient 1-0 Salford City
Saturday, October 29 at 3pm in League Two
Saturday, October 29 at 3pm in League Two
We said: Crewe Alexandra 0-1 Leyton Orient
It is hard to imagine a side who struggle so much in the final third, like Crewe, find a way past a defensive unit as well-organised and compact as Leyton have been in 2022-23. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leyton Orient win with a probability of 53.2%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 23.27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leyton Orient win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.77%) and 0-2 (9.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.13%), while for a Crewe Alexandra win it was 1-0 (6.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Crewe Alexandra | Draw | Leyton Orient |
23.27% ( 0.03) | 23.53% ( 0.01) | 53.2% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 54.59% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
