EFL Trophy | Group Stage

Oct 18, 2022 at 7pm UK

Alexandra Stadium

Crewe
0 - 1
Tranmere

Finney (35')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Nevitt (71')
O'Connor (50'), Jameson (55')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the EFL Trophy Group Stage clash between Crewe Alexandra and Tranmere Rovers.

Form, Standings, Stats

Crewe Alexandra

All competitions

EFL Trophy

Last Game: Tranmere 3-0 Crewe
Friday, October 14 at 7.45pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Tranmere Rovers

All competitions

EFL Trophy

Last Game: Tranmere 3-0 Crewe
Friday, October 14 at 7.45pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tranmere Rovers win with a probability of 47.13%. A win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 27.25% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tranmere Rovers win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.26%) and 0-2 (8.49%). The likeliest Crewe Alexandra win was 1-0 (8.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.18%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Tranmere Rovers in this match.

Result
Crewe Alexandra	Draw	Tranmere Rovers
27.25% ( -1)	25.62% ( -0.11)	47.13% ( 1.11)

Both teams to score 51.86% (

-0.36)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.39% (

-0.14)

51.61% (

0.14)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.6% (

-0.12)

73.4% (

0.12)

Crewe Alexandra Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.4% (

-0.85)

33.6% (

0.85)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.75% (

-0.94)

70.25% (

0.94)

Tranmere Rovers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.1% (

0.45)

21.9% (

-0.44)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.84% (

0.67)

55.16% (

-0.67)

Score Analysis

Crewe Alexandra 27.25%

Tranmere Rovers 47.12%

Draw 25.62%

Crewe Alexandra	Draw	Tranmere Rovers
1-0 @ 8.03% ( -0.14) 2-1 @ 6.65% ( -0.19) 2-0 @ 4.38% ( -0.18) 3-1 @ 2.42% ( -0.13) 3-2 @ 1.84% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 1.59% ( -0.11) Other @ 2.36% Total : 27.25%	1-1 @ 12.18% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 7.36% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 5.05% ( -0.07) 3-3 @ 0.93% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.62%	0-1 @ 11.17% ( 0.21) 1-2 @ 9.26% ( 0.08) 0-2 @ 8.49% ( 0.27) 1-3 @ 4.69% ( 0.1) 0-3 @ 4.3% ( 0.19) 2-3 @ 2.56% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.78% ( 0.06) 0-4 @ 1.63% ( 0.09) 2-4 @ 0.97% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.29% Total : 47.12%