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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leyton Orient win with a probability of 38.64%. A win for Carlisle United had a probability of 33.1% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leyton Orient win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.99%) and 0-2 (7.29%). The likeliest Carlisle United win was 1-0 (10.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Leyton Orient would win this match.
Result | ||
Carlisle United | Draw | Leyton Orient |
33.1% ( -0.05) | 28.26% ( 0) | 38.64% ( 0.05) |
Both teams to score 46.74% ( -0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
40.57% ( -0.01) | 59.43% ( 0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
20.2% ( -0.01) | 79.8% ( 0.01) |
Carlisle United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.62% ( -0.04) | 33.38% ( 0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.99% ( -0.04) | 70.01% ( 0.05) |
Leyton Orient Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.17% ( 0.02) | 29.83% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.08% ( 0.02) | 65.92% ( -0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Carlisle United | Draw | Leyton Orient |
1-0 @ 10.92% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 7.25% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 5.99% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 2.65% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 2.19% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.6% ( -0) Other @ 2.48% Total : 33.09% | 1-1 @ 13.21% 0-0 @ 9.96% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.38% ( -0) Other @ 0.7% Total : 28.26% | 0-1 @ 12.04% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.99% ( 0) 0-2 @ 7.29% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 3.22% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.94% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.77% 1-4 @ 0.97% ( 0) Other @ 2.41% Total : 38.64% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Port Vale | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 33 |
2 | Walsall | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 28 | 15 | 13 | 30 |
3 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 29 |
4 | Notts County | 17 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 28 |
5 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 28 |
6 | MK Dons | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 27 |
7 | Chesterfield | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 30 | 20 | 10 | 25 |
8 | Grimsby Town | 17 | 8 | 1 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 25 |
9 | AFC Wimbledon | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 23 |
10 | Bradford CityBradford | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 23 |
11 | Gillingham | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 17 | 14 | 3 | 23 |
12 | BarrowBarrow | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 22 |
13 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 21 |
14 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 21 |
15 | Salford City | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 21 |
16 | Newport CountyNewport | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 21 |
17 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 16 | 23 | -7 | 21 |
18 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 18 |
19 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 16 | 3 | 8 | 5 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 17 |
20 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 18 | -8 | 17 |
21 | Bromley | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 19 | -2 | 16 |
22 | Swindon TownSwindon | 17 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 20 | 28 | -8 | 13 |
23 | Morecambe | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 17 | 29 | -12 | 13 |
24 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 14 | 29 | -15 | 13 |
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