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Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Tranmere Rovers
League Two | Gameweek 15
Oct 14, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Prenton Park
Crewe Alexandra

Tranmere
3 - 0
Crewe

Simeu (22'), Nevitt (56', 90')
Merrie (52')
FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's League Two clash between Tranmere Rovers and Crewe Alexandra, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Crewe 1-1 Gillingham
Saturday, October 8 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Tranmere Rovers 1-0 Crewe Alexandra

With Tranmere on such an impressive run of form, it is difficult to see past them making it five consecutive wins on Friday. Crewe will not make it easy for them however, having taken decent points away at Carlisle United and Bradford City, and so we expect Tranmere to win by a narrow margin. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tranmere Rovers win with a probability of 53.27%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 21.76%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tranmere Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.23%) and 2-1 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.82%), while for a Crewe Alexandra win it was 0-1 (7.36%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Tranmere Rovers would win this match.

Result
Tranmere RoversDrawCrewe Alexandra
53.27% (0.045999999999999 0.05) 24.96% (0.0060000000000002 0.01) 21.76% (-0.058 -0.06)
Both teams to score 48.32% (-0.097000000000001 -0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.48% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09)53.52% (0.086999999999996 0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.96% (-0.077000000000002 -0.08)75.03% (0.073999999999998 0.07)
Tranmere Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.93% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)20.07% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.7% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)52.3% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Crewe Alexandra Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.45% (-0.11 -0.11)39.55% (0.105 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.77% (-0.101 -0.1)76.23% (0.096999999999994 0.1)
Score Analysis
    Tranmere Rovers 53.26%
    Crewe Alexandra 21.76%
    Draw 24.96%
Tranmere RoversDrawCrewe Alexandra
1-0 @ 12.74% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
2-0 @ 10.23% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
2-1 @ 9.5% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
3-0 @ 5.48% (0.011 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.08% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-2 @ 2.36% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.2% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 2.04% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 0.95% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 53.26%
1-1 @ 11.82%
0-0 @ 7.94% (0.027 0.03)
2-2 @ 4.4% (-0.015 -0.01)
Other @ 0.8%
Total : 24.96%
0-1 @ 7.36% (0.0040000000000004 0)
1-2 @ 5.49% (-0.015 -0.01)
0-2 @ 3.42% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.7% (-0.01 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.36% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.06% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 1.38%
Total : 21.76%

How you voted: Tranmere vs Crewe

Tranmere Rovers
81.3%
Draw
4.2%
Crewe Alexandra
14.6%
48
Head to Head
Mar 8, 2019 7.45pm
Nov 17, 2018 3pm
Crewe
3-2
Tranmere
Ainley (20', 51'), Kirk (67')
Norwood (36'), Banks (83')
Mullin (79'), Banks (89'), Norwood (89')
Sep 4, 2018 7.45pm
Tranmere
3-4
Crewe
Harris (45'), Stockton (45'), Mullin (46')
Gilmour (80'), Jennings (90')
Porter (20', 85'), Nicholls (73'), Jones (86')
Ray (79')
Jan 25, 2014 3pm
Tranmere
1-0
Crewe
Pennington (28')
Kennedy (36'), Koumas (83')

Evans (37'), Mellor (39')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall23164343202352
2Crewe AlexandraCrewe24119433221142
3Salford City24126629191042
4Port Vale2511862925441
5AFC Wimbledon23124735191640
6Notts County24117638261240
7Doncaster RoversDoncaster2511773530540
8Bradford CityBradford2410863327638
9Grimsby Town25121123640-437
10Chesterfield249783829934
11MK Dons2310493631534
12Bromley2481063530534
13Cheltenham TownCheltenham248793436-231
14Gillingham2393112224-230
15BarrowBarrow2477102326-328
16Fleetwood TownFleetwood226972828027
17Colchester UnitedColchester2451272828027
18Newport CountyNewport2375113040-1026
19Accrington StanleyAccrington2367103240-825
20Tranmere RoversTranmere2367101732-1525
21Harrogate TownHarrogate2574142137-1625
22Swindon TownSwindon2559113141-1024
23Morecambe2455142239-1720
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2446141938-1918


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