FA Cup

FA Cup | Third Round

Jan 8, 2022 at 3pm UK

King Power Stadium

Leicester
4 - 1
Watford

Tielemans (7' pen.), Maddison (25'), Barnes (54'), Albrighton (85')
Daley-Campbell (36')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Pedro (27')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's FA Cup clash between Leicester City and Watford, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Leicester City 2-0 Watford

Both sides are dealing with absentees in the double figures and may feel that they have bigger fish to fry regarding the Premier League, but Leicester will not turn their noses up at another memorable cup run. Watford are not exactly renowned for their performances on the King Power turf and ended 2021 in the worst way possible, so we expect a comfortable route into round four for the defending champions. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 50.73%. A win for Watford had a probability of 26.21% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.59%) and 2-0 (7.76%). The likeliest Watford win was 1-2 (6.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.64%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leicester City would win this match.

Result
Leicester City	Draw	Watford
50.73%	23.06%	26.21%

Both teams to score 59.39%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.73%

41.27%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.33%

63.67%

Leicester City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.6%

16.4%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.95%

46.05%

Watford Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.04%

28.96%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.16%

64.85%

Score Analysis

Leicester City 50.73%

Watford 26.21%

Draw 23.06%

Leicester City	Draw	Watford
2-1 @ 9.62% 1-0 @ 8.59% 2-0 @ 7.76% 3-1 @ 5.8% 3-0 @ 4.68% 3-2 @ 3.59% 4-1 @ 2.62% 4-0 @ 2.11% 4-2 @ 1.62% 5-1 @ 0.95% Other @ 3.39% Total : 50.73%	1-1 @ 10.64% 2-2 @ 5.96% 0-0 @ 4.75% 3-3 @ 1.48% Other @ 0.23% Total : 23.06%	1-2 @ 6.59% 0-1 @ 5.89% 0-2 @ 3.65% 1-3 @ 2.72% 2-3 @ 2.46% 0-3 @ 1.51% Other @ 3.39% Total : 26.21%