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Premier League | Gameweek 15
Dec 4, 2021 at 5.30pm UK
Vicarage Road
Manchester City logo

Watford
1 - 3
Man City

Camilo Hernandez (74')
King (7'), Rose (31'), Cathcart (85')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Sterling (4'), Silva (31', 63')

The Match

Team News

Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Saturday's Premier League clash between Watford and Manchester City.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Watford and Manchester City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Manchester City could line up for Saturday's Premier League clash with Watford.

Injuries & Suspensions

Sports Mole rounds up all of Manchester City's latest injury and suspension news ahead of Saturday's Premier League clash with Watford.

We said: Watford 1-3 Manchester City

Watford deserve immense credit for the way they took the game to Chelsea amid the difficult circumstances, but a lack of defensive discipline could cost them dear once again. City's attacking line has been bolstered by the returns of Foden and Grealish, and with Guardiola's side developing a ruthless streak away from home, we do not expect any surprises at Vicarage Road. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 74.56%. A draw had a probability of 16% and a win for Watford had a probability of 9.45%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.3%) and 0-3 (10.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.6%), while for a Watford win it was 1-0 (3.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-3 win for Manchester City in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Manchester City.

Result
WatfordDrawManchester City
9.45%15.99%74.56%
Both teams to score 47.51%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.08%38.92%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.76%61.24%
Watford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.16%47.84%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.88%83.11%
Manchester City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.09%8.9%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
69.56%30.44%
Score Analysis
    Watford 9.45%
    Manchester City 74.54%
    Draw 15.99%
WatfordDrawManchester City
1-0 @ 3.14%
2-1 @ 2.8%
2-0 @ 1.16%
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 9.45%
1-1 @ 7.6%
0-0 @ 4.26%
2-2 @ 3.39%
Other @ 0.75%
Total : 15.99%
0-2 @ 12.46%
0-1 @ 10.3%
0-3 @ 10.04%
1-2 @ 9.19%
1-3 @ 7.41%
0-4 @ 6.08%
1-4 @ 4.48%
0-5 @ 2.94%
2-3 @ 2.73%
1-5 @ 2.17%
2-4 @ 1.65%
0-6 @ 1.19%
Other @ 3.91%
Total : 74.54%

How you voted: Watford vs Man City

Watford
10.4%
Draw
5.7%
Manchester City
84.0%
212
Head to Head
Jul 21, 2020 6pm
Gameweek 37
Watford
0-4
Man City

Mariappa (80'), Hughes (90+1')
Sterling (31', 40'), Foden (63'), Laporte (66')
Sep 21, 2019 3pm
May 18, 2019 5pm
Mar 9, 2019 5.30pm
Dec 4, 2018 8pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool119112161528
2Manchester CityMan City127232217523
3Chelsea126422314922
4Arsenal126422112922
5Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton126422116522
6Tottenham HotspurSpurs1261527131419
7Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest125431513219
8Aston Villa125431919019
9Newcastle UnitedNewcastle115331311218
10Fulham125341717018
11Brentford125252222017
12Manchester UnitedMan Utd114341212015
13Bournemouth124351617-115
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham113351319-612
15Everton122551017-711
16Leicester CityLeicester122461523-810
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves122372028-89
18Crystal Palace121561017-78
19Ipswich TownIpswich111551222-108
20Southampton11119721-144


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