FA Cup | Fourth Round
Jan 27, 2023 at 8pm UK
Etihad Stadium
Man City1 - 0Arsenal
The Match
Match Report
Nathan Ake scores the only goal of the game as Manchester City edge past Arsenal 1-0 in a closely-fought FA Cup fourth-round battle at the Etihad Stadium.
Team News
Manchester City are without Phil Foden for this evening's FA Cup fourth-round tie against Arsenal at the Etihad Stadium.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Friday's FA Cup clash between Manchester City and Arsenal, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Predicted Lineups
Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Arsenal could line up for Friday's FA Cup fourth-round clash with Manchester City.
Injuries & Suspensions
Sports Mole rounds up all of Arsenal's latest injury and suspension news ahead of Friday's FA Cup fourth-round clash with Manchester City.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Man City 3-0 Wolves
Sunday, January 22 at 2pm in Premier League
Sunday, January 22 at 2pm in Premier League
Last Game: Arsenal 3-2 Man Utd
Sunday, January 22 at 4.30pm in Premier League
Sunday, January 22 at 4.30pm in Premier League
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 44.7%. A win for Arsenal had a probability of 32.12% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.13%) and 2-0 (6.23%). The likeliest Arsenal win was 1-2 (7.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Manchester City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Manchester City | Draw | Arsenal |
44.7% ( -0.06) | 23.17% ( -0.02) | 32.12% ( 0.08) |
| Both teams to score 63.22% ( 0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.97% ( 0.12) | 38.02% ( -0.12) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.7% ( 0.13) | 60.29% ( -0.13) |
| Manchester City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.56% ( 0.02) | 17.43% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 52.11% ( 0.04) | 47.88% ( -0.04) |
| Arsenal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.57% ( 0.1) | 23.42% ( -0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 42.58% ( 0.15) | 57.42% ( -0.15) |
| Score Analysis |
Manchester City 44.7%
Arsenal 32.12%
Draw 23.17%
| Manchester City | Draw | Arsenal |
| 2-1 @ 9.04% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 7.13% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 6.23% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 5.27% ( -0)3-2 @ 3.82% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 3.63% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 2.3% 4-2 @ 1.67% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.58% ( -0)Other @ 4.03% Total : 44.7% | 1-1 @ 10.35% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 6.56% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 4.08% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.85% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.33% Total : 23.17% | 1-2 @ 7.51% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 5.93% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 4.3% ( 0)1-3 @ 3.64% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 3.18% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2.08% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.32% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.15% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.02% Total : 32.12% |
How you voted: Man City vs Arsenal
Manchester City
42.3%Draw
18.2%Arsenal
39.5%527
Head to Head
Form Guide
Build-up
How Arsenal could line up against Manchester City
Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Arsenal could line up for Friday's FA Cup fourth-round clash with Manchester City.
2 years ago
How Manchester City could line up against Arsenal
Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Manchester City could line up for Friday's FA Cup fourth-round clash with Arsenal.
2 years ago
Arsenal team news: Injury, suspension list vs. Manchester City
Sports Mole rounds up all of Arsenal's latest injury and suspension news ahead of Friday's FA Cup fourth-round clash with Manchester City.
2 years ago
Manchester City team news: Injury, suspension list vs. Arsenal
Sports Mole rounds up Manchester City's latest injury and suspension news ahead of their Friday's FA Cup fourth-round clash with Arsenal.
2 years ago
Manchester City's Phil Foden doubtful for Arsenal clash with foot injury
Manchester City manager Pep Guardiola reveals that Phil Foden is a doubt for Friday's FA Cup fourth-round match with Arsenal due to a foot injury.
2 years ago
