MX23RW : Friday, April 25 20:03:46| >> :60:2649:2649:
Middlesbrough logo
FA Cup | Third Round
Jan 11, 2025 at 12pm UK
Riverside Stadium
Blackburn logo

Middlesbrough
0 - 1
Blackburn


McCabe (47')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Weimann (70')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's FA Cup clash between Middlesbrough and Blackburn Rovers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Middlesbrough 1-1 Cardiff
Saturday, January 4 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Blackburn 0-1 Burnley
Saturday, January 4 at 12.30pm in Championship

We said: Middlesbrough 1-1 Blackburn Rovers (Middlesbrough win on penalties)

There is almost nothing to separate the sides in the Championship table, and both managers could be tempted to make some personnel changes with the promotion picture hotting up. The two sides have won very few games in recent weeks, and this one may go all the way, with Boro proving tough to beat, even if they have only won two of their last six matches. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 58.84%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Blackburn Rovers had a probability of 18.85%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.38%) and 2-1 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.59%), while for a Blackburn Rovers win it was 0-1 (5.67%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.

Result
MiddlesbroughDrawBlackburn Rovers
58.84% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03) 22.31% (0.0070000000000014 0.01) 18.85% (0.02 0.02)
Both teams to score 51.96% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.57% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)46.43% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.29% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)68.71% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Middlesbrough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.56% (-0.0099999999999909 -0.01)15.44% (0.0089999999999986 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.72% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)44.28% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Blackburn Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.45% (0.019000000000005 0.02)38.55% (-0.017000000000003 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.71% (0.018999999999998 0.02)75.29% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Middlesbrough 58.82%
    Blackburn Rovers 18.85%
    Draw 22.31%
MiddlesbroughDrawBlackburn Rovers
1-0 @ 11.11% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 10.38% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.9%
3-0 @ 6.47% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-1 @ 6.17% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-0 @ 3.02% (-0.004 -0)
3-2 @ 2.94%
4-1 @ 2.88% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
4-2 @ 1.37%
5-0 @ 1.13% (-0.002 -0)
5-1 @ 1.08% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 58.82%
1-1 @ 10.59%
0-0 @ 5.95% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-2 @ 4.72% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-3 @ 0.93% (0.001 0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 22.31%
0-1 @ 5.67% (0.0040000000000004 0)
1-2 @ 5.05% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-2 @ 2.7% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 1.61% (0.002 0)
2-3 @ 1.5% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 18.85%

How you voted: Middlesbrough vs Blackburn

Middlesbrough
Draw
Blackburn Rovers
Middlesbrough
71.4%
Draw
14.3%
Blackburn Rovers
14.3%
42
Head to Head
Nov 27, 2024 7.45pm
Mar 16, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 38
Middlesbrough
0-0
Blackburn
Latte Lath (31'), Ayling (57'), Greenwood (90')
Wharton (31'), Hedges (81'), Ayari (89')
Sep 16, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 6
Blackburn
2-1
Middlesbrough
Szmodics (31', 49')
Carter (28')
Crooks (55')
Lenihan (40'), Hackney (88')
Dec 29, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 25
Blackburn
1-2
Middlesbrough
Hedges (5')
Forss (46'), McGree (56')
Oct 15, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 15
Middlesbrough
1-2
Blackburn
Watmore (45+1')
Lenihan (4' og.), Gallagher (17')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool33247275314479
2Arsenal341813363293467
3Manchester CityMan City34187966432361
4Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest33186953391460
5Newcastle UnitedNewcastle331851062441859
6Chelsea33169858401857
7Aston Villa3416995449557
8Bournemouth3313101052401249
9Fulham33139114845348
10Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton33121295353048
11Brentford33137135650646
12Crystal Palace341112114347-445
13Everton33814113440-638
14Manchester UnitedMan Utd33108153846-838
15Wolverhampton WanderersWolves33115174861-1338
16Tottenham HotspurSpurs331141861511037
17West Ham UnitedWest Ham3399153755-1836
18Ipswich TownIpswich3349203371-3821
19Leicester CityLeicester3346232773-4618
20Southampton3325262478-5411


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