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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 55.79%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Cardiff City had a probability of 20.81%.
The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.02%) and 2-1 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.13%), while for a Cardiff City win it was 0-1 (6.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Middlesbrough | Draw | Cardiff City |
55.79% ( -0.26) | 23.41% ( 0.06) | 20.81% ( 0.2) |
Both teams to score 51.68% ( 0.13) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.6% ( 0.01) | 48.4% ( -0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.46% ( 0.02) | 70.54% ( -0.02) |
Middlesbrough Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.82% ( -0.09) | 17.18% ( 0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.56% ( -0.16) | 47.44% ( 0.16) |
Cardiff City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.39% ( 0.22) | 37.61% ( -0.22) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.62% ( 0.21) | 74.39% ( -0.21) |
Score Analysis |
Middlesbrough | Draw | Cardiff City |
1-0 @ 11.38% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 10.02% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 9.8% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 5.88% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 5.76% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.81% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 2.59% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 2.53% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.24% ( -0) 5-0 @ 0.91% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.85% Total : 55.78% | 1-1 @ 11.13% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 6.46% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.79% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 0.92% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.11% Total : 23.41% | 0-1 @ 6.32% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 5.44% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 3.09% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 1.78% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 1.56% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.01% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.61% Total : 20.81% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 28 | 17 | 8 | 3 | 53 | 19 | 34 | 59 |
2 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 29 | 18 | 6 | 5 | 40 | 21 | 19 | 58 |
3 | Burnley | 28 | 15 | 11 | 2 | 36 | 9 | 27 | 56 |
4 | Sunderland | 29 | 15 | 10 | 4 | 42 | 24 | 18 | 55 |
5 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 29 | 10 | 14 | 5 | 38 | 25 | 13 | 44 |
6 | Middlesbrough | 29 | 12 | 8 | 9 | 47 | 36 | 11 | 44 |
7 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 29 | 12 | 6 | 11 | 32 | 28 | 4 | 42 |
8 | Bristol City | 29 | 10 | 11 | 8 | 37 | 34 | 3 | 41 |
9 | Watford | 29 | 12 | 5 | 12 | 40 | 41 | -1 | 41 |
10 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 29 | 11 | 8 | 10 | 42 | 45 | -3 | 41 |
11 | Norwich CityNorwich | 29 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 48 | 42 | 6 | 39 |
12 | Coventry CityCoventry | 29 | 10 | 8 | 11 | 39 | 38 | 1 | 38 |
13 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 29 | 9 | 11 | 9 | 32 | 37 | -5 | 38 |
14 | Preston North EndPreston | 29 | 8 | 13 | 8 | 32 | 36 | -4 | 37 |
15 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 33 | 43 | -10 | 36 |
16 | Millwall | 28 | 8 | 10 | 10 | 27 | 26 | 1 | 34 |
17 | Swansea CitySwansea | 29 | 9 | 7 | 13 | 32 | 40 | -8 | 34 |
18 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 29 | 7 | 10 | 12 | 33 | 44 | -11 | 31 |
19 | Hull City | 29 | 7 | 8 | 14 | 30 | 38 | -8 | 29 |
20 | Stoke CityStoke | 29 | 6 | 11 | 12 | 26 | 36 | -10 | 29 |
21 | Portsmouth | 28 | 7 | 8 | 13 | 36 | 51 | -15 | 29 |
22 | Derby CountyDerby | 29 | 7 | 6 | 16 | 32 | 40 | -8 | 27 |
23 | Luton TownLuton | 29 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 29 | 48 | -19 | 26 |
24 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 29 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 27 | 62 | -35 | 22 |
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