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Championship | Gameweek 26
Jan 4, 2025 at 3pm UK
Riverside Stadium
Cardiff City logo

Middlesbrough
1 - 1
Cardiff

Latte Lath (12')
Doak (75'), Barlaser (89')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Chambers (21')
O'Dowda (30'), Rinomhota (76'), Robertson (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Middlesbrough and Cardiff City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hull City 0-1 Middlesbrough
Wednesday, January 1 at 5.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Cardiff 1-1 Coventry
Wednesday, January 1 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Middlesbrough 2-0 Cardiff City

Although Middlesbrough are in the midst of an injury crisis, they have been difficult to beat in recent weeks, and it is hard to see them losing against Cardiff. Additionally, the visitors' record on the road is poor, and it would not be surprising if their defensive frailty was once again exposed on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 55.79%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Cardiff City had a probability of 20.81%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.02%) and 2-1 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.13%), while for a Cardiff City win it was 0-1 (6.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood.

Result
MiddlesbroughDrawCardiff City
55.79% (-0.261 -0.26) 23.41% (0.056999999999999 0.06) 20.81% (0.204 0.2)
Both teams to score 51.68% (0.127 0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.6% (0.014000000000003 0.01)48.4% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.46% (0.015000000000001 0.02)70.54% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Middlesbrough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.82% (-0.088000000000008 -0.09)17.18% (0.087 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.56% (-0.156 -0.16)47.44% (0.155 0.16)
Cardiff City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.39% (0.218 0.22)37.61% (-0.219 -0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.62% (0.211 0.21)74.39% (-0.21199999999999 -0.21)
Score Analysis
    Middlesbrough 55.78%
    Cardiff City 20.81%
    Draw 23.41%
MiddlesbroughDrawCardiff City
1-0 @ 11.38% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
2-0 @ 10.02% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-1 @ 9.8% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
3-0 @ 5.88% (-0.056 -0.06)
3-1 @ 5.76% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.81% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.59% (-0.032 -0.03)
4-1 @ 2.53% (-0.016 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.24% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-0 @ 0.91% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 55.78%
1-1 @ 11.13% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
0-0 @ 6.46% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-2 @ 4.79% (0.026 0.03)
3-3 @ 0.92% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 23.41%
0-1 @ 6.32% (0.034 0.03)
1-2 @ 5.44% (0.045 0.04)
0-2 @ 3.09% (0.034 0.03)
1-3 @ 1.78% (0.026 0.03)
2-3 @ 1.56% (0.018 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.01% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 1.61%
Total : 20.81%

How you voted: Middlesbrough vs Cardiff

Middlesbrough
83.3%
Draw
12.5%
Cardiff City
4.2%
48
Head to Head
Aug 31, 2024 12.30pm
Gameweek 4
Cardiff
0-2
Middlesbrough

Siopis (5'), Daland (39')
Clarke (55'), Ramsey (82' og.)
Morris (69')
Apr 27, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 45
Cardiff
1-4
Middlesbrough
Bowler (90+1')
Clarke (45'), Azaz (49'), Latte Lath (56'), Gilbert (60')
Oct 3, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 10
Middlesbrough
2-0
Cardiff
Jones (56'), Latte Lath (84')
Greenwood (75')

Grant (32'), Ng (36'), Goutas (80')
Feb 11, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 31
Cardiff
1-3
Middlesbrough
Kaba (25')
Forss (17'), Archer (38'), McGree (90')
Sep 13, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 10
Middlesbrough
2-3
Cardiff
Watmore (76'), Muniz (77')
O'Dowda (4'), Harris (20'), Ng (45')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds28178353193459
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd29186540211958
3Burnley28151123692756
4Sunderland291510442241855
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom291014538251344
6Middlesbrough29128947361144
7Blackburn RoversBlackburn29126113228442
8Bristol City29101183734341
9Watford29125124041-141
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds29118104245-341
11Norwich CityNorwich29109104842639
12Coventry CityCoventry29108113938138
13Queens Park RangersQPR2991193237-538
14Preston North EndPreston2981383236-437
15Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2999113343-1036
16Millwall28810102726134
17Swansea CitySwansea2997133240-834
18Cardiff CityCardiff29710123344-1131
19Hull City2978143038-829
20Stoke CityStoke29611122636-1029
21Portsmouth2878133651-1529
22Derby CountyDerby2976163240-827
23Luton TownLuton2975172948-1926
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth29410152762-3522


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