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Championship | Gameweek 21
Dec 14, 2024 at 3pm UK
Riverside Stadium
Millwall logo

Middlesbrough
1 - 0
Millwall

Latte Lath (10')
Latte Lath (37'), Dijksteel (65')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Tanganga (54'), Mitchell (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Middlesbrough and Millwall, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Leeds 3-1 Middlesbrough
Tuesday, December 10 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Millwall 0-1 Sheff Utd
Wednesday, December 11 at 7.45pm in Championship

We said: Middlesbrough 1-1 Millwall

Millwall will want to end the Harris era on a high and will move to within three points of Middlesbrough in the standings if they win at the Riverside Stadium this weekend. Although Millwall will be motivated to get the three points, we think that this game ends in a draw - the visitors have more draws than wins so far this season and they are capable of getting a point on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 48.95%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for Millwall had a probability of 24.83%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.42%) and 2-1 (9.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.38%), while for a Millwall win it was 0-1 (8.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Middlesbrough in this match.

Result
MiddlesbroughDrawMillwall
48.95% (0.019000000000005 0.02) 26.21% (0.016999999999999 0.02) 24.83% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Both teams to score 48.11% (-0.068000000000005 -0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.49% (-0.071999999999996 -0.07)55.52% (0.078000000000003 0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.31% (-0.058 -0.06)76.69% (0.064000000000007 0.06)
Middlesbrough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.28% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)22.72% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.61% (-0.034000000000006 -0.03)56.39% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.25% (-0.067999999999998 -0.07)37.76% (0.072000000000003 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.47% (-0.067 -0.07)74.53% (0.072000000000003 0.07)
Score Analysis
    Middlesbrough 48.95%
    Millwall 24.83%
    Draw 26.21%
MiddlesbroughDrawMillwall
1-0 @ 12.71% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
2-0 @ 9.42% (0.014000000000001 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.18% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-0 @ 4.65% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-1 @ 4.53% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.21% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.72%
4-1 @ 1.68% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 48.95%
1-1 @ 12.38% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
0-0 @ 8.58% (0.026 0.03)
2-2 @ 4.47% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 0.79%
Total : 26.21%
0-1 @ 8.36% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
1-2 @ 6.03% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.07% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
1-3 @ 1.96% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.45% (-0.006 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.32% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 1.65%
Total : 24.83%

How you voted: Middlesbrough vs Millwall

Middlesbrough
76.3%
Draw
21.1%
Millwall
2.6%
38
Head to Head
Jan 13, 2024 3.15pm
Gameweek 27
Millwall
1-3
Middlesbrough
Bryan (10')
Honeyman (45+4'), Longman (51'), Bryan (80')
Engel (38'), Jones (58'), Forss (90+5')
Engel (66')
Aug 5, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 1
Middlesbrough
0-1
Millwall

Howson (80')
Esse (79')
Bryan (25'), Nisbet (46'), Cooper (80')
Jan 14, 2023 3pm
Oct 8, 2022 3pm
Mar 12, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 37
Millwall
0-0
Middlesbrough
Cooper (4'), Ballard (16'), Malone (19'), Wallace (34')
Jones (19')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds28178353193459
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd28186440182258
3Burnley28151123692756
4Sunderland28159440221854
5Middlesbrough28128846341244
6Blackburn RoversBlackburn28126103126542
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2891453324941
8Watford28125113939041
9Bristol City2891183533238
10Queens Park RangersQPR2891183235-338
11Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds28108104045-538
12Norwich CityNorwich2899104341236
13Coventry CityCoventry2898113737035
14Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2898113343-1035
15Swansea CitySwansea2897123135-434
16Preston North EndPreston2871383035-534
17Millwall27710102626031
18Portsmouth2778123546-1129
19Stoke CityStoke28610122636-1028
20Cardiff CityCardiff28610123143-1228
21Derby CountyDerby2876153138-727
22Hull City2868142738-1126
23Luton TownLuton2875162947-1826
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2849152560-3521


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