MX23RW : Monday, March 10 11:32:13| >> :120:51457:51457:
Preston North End logo
FA Cup | Fifth Round
Mar 1, 2025 at 12.15pm UK
Deepdale
Burnley logo

Preston
3 - 0
Burnley

Brady (31'), Osmajic (44'), Keane (73')
Teitur Thordarson (28'), Kesler (35'), Ledson (67'), Ledson (67')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Pires (30')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's FA Cup clash between Preston North End and Burnley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Coventry 2-1 Preston
Saturday, February 22 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Burnley 4-0 Sheff Weds
Friday, February 21 at 8pm in Championship

We said: Preston North End 0-1 Burnley

Considering the last two meetings between these sides ended goalless, another tight affair could be in store on Saturday. Burnley have made themselves incredibly difficult to break down this term and although Preston have scored in nine of their last 11 home matches, we are backing the Clarets to come out on top and keep yet another clean sheet. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Burnley win with a probability of 42.7%. A win for Preston North End has a probability of 28.74% and a draw has a probability of 28.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win is 0-1 with a probability of 13.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-2 (8.48%) and 1-2 (8.24%). The likeliest Preston North End win is 1-0 (10.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (13.16%).

Result
Preston North EndDrawBurnley
28.74% (0.056000000000001 0.06) 28.56% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01) 42.7% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)
Both teams to score 44.42% (0.052 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.4% (0.048999999999999 0.05)61.6% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.56% (0.036999999999999 0.04)81.44% (-0.034000000000006 -0.03)
Preston North End Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.19% (0.073 0.07)37.81% (-0.07 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.42% (0.07 0.07)74.58% (-0.068000000000012 -0.07)
Burnley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.42% (0.0010000000000048 0)28.58% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.62%64.38% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Score Analysis
    Preston North End 28.73%
    Burnley 42.7%
    Draw 28.56%
Preston North EndDrawBurnley
1-0 @ 10.51% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 6.4% (0.013 0.01)
2-0 @ 5.11% (0.011 0.01)
3-1 @ 2.08% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
3-0 @ 1.66% (0.006 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.3% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 1.68%
Total : 28.73%
1-1 @ 13.16%
0-0 @ 10.8% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.01% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 0.59%
Total : 28.56%
0-1 @ 13.53% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
0-2 @ 8.48% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-2 @ 8.24%
0-3 @ 3.54% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.44%
2-3 @ 1.67% (0.004 0)
0-4 @ 1.11% (-0.002 -0)
1-4 @ 1.08% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 1.61%
Total : 42.7%

How you voted: Preston vs Burnley

Preston North End
15.6%
Draw
13.3%
Burnley
71.1%
45
Head to Head
Feb 15, 2025 12.30pm
Gameweek 33
Preston
0-0
Burnley
Porteous (53'), Hughes (80')
Flemming (78'), Anthony (90+7')
Oct 5, 2024 12.30pm
Gameweek 9
Burnley
0-0
Preston
Foster (66'), Brownhill (69'), Egan Riley (71')
Hughes (26'), Woodman (44'), Whiteman (55'), McCann (69')
Feb 11, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 31
Burnley
3-0
Preston
Tella (15', 55', 58')
Sep 13, 2022 8pm
Sep 1, 2020 2pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Preston
0-0
Burnley
rhs 2.0
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