FA Cup | Third Round
Jan 11, 2025 at 3pm UK
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Reading1 - 3Burnley
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Charlton 0-0 Reading
Saturday, January 4 at 3pm in League One
Saturday, January 4 at 3pm in League One
Goals
for
for
39
Last Game: Blackburn 0-1 Burnley
Saturday, January 4 at 12.30pm in Championship
Saturday, January 4 at 12.30pm in Championship
We say: Reading 1-2 Burnley
Both teams will fancy their chances of success on Saturday, but Burnley will be regarded as favourites, even though their away record at Reading leaves little to be desired, and they should find a way to edge past their League One counterparts, even if Parker opts to make changes to his lineup. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 37.36%. A win for Reading had a probability of 35.28% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.06%) and 0-2 (6.71%). The likeliest Reading win was 1-0 (10.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Burnley would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Reading | Draw | Burnley |
35.28% ( -0.21) | 27.36% ( 0.06) | 37.36% ( 0.15) |
| Both teams to score 49.73% ( -0.21) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.16% ( -0.26) | 55.84% ( 0.27) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.04% ( -0.21) | 76.96% ( 0.22) |
| Reading Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.88% ( -0.26) | 30.12% ( 0.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 33.74% ( -0.32) | 66.26% ( 0.32) |
| Burnley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.15% ( -0.04) | 28.84% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 35.29% ( -0.05) | 64.7% ( 0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
Reading 35.27%
Burnley 37.36%
Draw 27.36%
| Reading | Draw | Burnley |
| 1-0 @ 10.42% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 7.78% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 6.26% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 3.11% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 2.5% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 1.93% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 0.93% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.34% Total : 35.27% | 1-1 @ 12.96% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 8.69% ( 0.09)2-2 @ 4.84% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.88% Total : 27.36% | 0-1 @ 10.8% ( 0.1) 1-2 @ 8.06% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 6.71% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 3.34% ( -0)0-3 @ 2.78% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 1.04% ( -0)Other @ 2.62% Total : 37.36% |
How you voted: Reading vs Burnley
Reading
23.9%Draw
6.5%Burnley
69.6%46
Head to Head
Apr 15, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 42
Reading
0-0
Burnley
Oct 29, 2022 3pm
Feb 13, 2016 3pm
Sep 26, 2015 3pm
