FA Cup | Fourth Round
Feb 8, 2025 at 3pm UK
St. Mary's Stadium
Southampton0 - 1Burnley
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Ipswich 1-2 Southampton
Saturday, February 1 at 3pm in Premier League
Saturday, February 1 at 3pm in Premier League
Goals
for
for
18
Last Game: Burnley 1-0 Oxford Utd
Tuesday, February 4 at 7.45pm in Championship
Tuesday, February 4 at 7.45pm in Championship
We said: Southampton 2-1 Burnley
The thought of facing any team who has conceded just one goal in over 15 hours of football is a daunting one, but Southampton can be confident of making the net ripple against Burnley having scored in six of their last seven matches. With Parker set to make a number of changes to his Clarets lineup, a potentially stronger Saints outfit may just do enough to get their second morale-boosting win in the space of a week to progress to the fifth round. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 52.49%. A win for Southampton had a probability of 25.01% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.33%) and 0-2 (7.84%). The likeliest Southampton win was 2-1 (6.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.29%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Burnley would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Southampton | Draw | Burnley |
25.01% ( 0.01) | 22.5% ( -0.04) | 52.49% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 60.13% ( 0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
