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Championship | Gameweek 31
Feb 11, 2023 at 3pm UK
Turf Moor
Preston North End logo

Burnley
3 - 0
Preston

Tella (15', 55', 58')
Beyer (57')
FT(HT: 1-0)

McCann (28'), Delap (57'), Lindsay (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Burnley and Preston North End, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Burnley 2-1 Ipswich
Tuesday, February 7 at 7.45pm in FA Cup

We said: Burnley 3-0 Preston North End

Unless Preston pull off the performance of the current Championship campaign, this should be one-way traffic. Although Burnley were not at their best in midweek, they have generally been relentless at Turf Moor, giving us every confidence that they will prevail with minimal fuss. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 72.03%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for Preston North End had a probability of 9.37%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 2-0 with a probability of 15.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (14.6%) and 3-0 (10.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.56%), while for a Preston North End win it was 0-1 (4.15%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-0 win for Burnley in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Burnley.

Result
BurnleyDrawPreston North End
72.03% (0.043000000000006 0.04) 18.6% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02) 9.37% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
Both teams to score 38.7% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.34% (0.042000000000002 0.04)50.66% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.43% (0.037000000000003 0.04)72.57% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Burnley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.27% (0.025000000000006 0.03)12.73% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.03% (0.051000000000002 0.05)38.97% (-0.050999999999995 -0.05)
Preston North End Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
44.34% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)55.66% (0.013999999999996 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
11.73% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)88.27% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Burnley 72.02%
    Preston North End 9.37%
    Draw 18.6%
BurnleyDrawPreston North End
2-0 @ 15.05% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
1-0 @ 14.6% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-0 @ 10.34% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.82% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
3-1 @ 6.06% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-0 @ 5.33% (0.011 0.01)
4-1 @ 3.12% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
5-0 @ 2.2% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.78%
5-1 @ 1.29% (0.0029999999999999 0)
4-2 @ 0.92% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 72.02%
1-1 @ 8.56% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.08% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-2 @ 2.58% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
Other @ 0.37%
Total : 18.6%
0-1 @ 4.15% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
1-2 @ 2.51% (-0.004 -0)
0-2 @ 1.22% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 1.5%
Total : 9.37%

How you voted: Burnley vs Preston

Burnley
66.7%
Draw
33.3%
Preston North End
0.0%
15
Head to Head
Sep 13, 2022 8pm
Sep 1, 2020 2pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Preston
0-0
Burnley
Jul 23, 2018 7.45pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Preston
2-3
Burnley
Harrop (22'), Robinson (74')
Lennon (26'), Agyei (72'), McNeil (84')
Jul 25, 2017 7.45pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Preston
1-2
Burnley
Maguire (65')
Walters (21'), Vokes (55')
Apr 22, 2016 7.45pm
Preston
0-1
Burnley

Garner (45'), Wright (60'), Robinson (96')
Barton (6')
Marney (43'), Lowton (45'), Gray (73'), Barton (80'), Mee (82')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland1594225111431
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1510321971231
3Leeds UnitedLeeds158522491529
4Burnley157621861227
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom15672169725
6Watford158162322125
7Middlesbrough157352317624
8Millwall156541813523
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn156451917222
10Bristol City155732019122
11Swansea CitySwansea155461110119
12Derby CountyDerby155461919019
13Stoke CityStoke155461819-119
14Norwich CityNorwich154652322118
15Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds155371725-818
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd154561718-117
17Coventry CityCoventry154472021-116
18Plymouth ArgylePlymouth154471526-1116
19Hull City153661620-415
20Preston North EndPreston153661523-815
21Luton TownLuton154381726-915
22Cardiff CityCardiff154381423-915
23Portsmouth152671628-1212
24Queens Park RangersQPR151771225-1310


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