Home > Football > Championship
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 72.03%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for Preston North End had a probability of 9.37%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 2-0 with a probability of 15.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (14.6%) and 3-0 (10.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.56%), while for a Preston North End win it was 0-1 (4.15%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-0 win for Burnley in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Burnley.
Result | ||
Burnley | Draw | Preston North End |
72.03% ( 0.04) | 18.6% ( -0.02) | 9.37% ( -0.02) |
Both teams to score 38.7% ( -0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.34% ( 0.04) | 50.66% ( -0.04) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.43% ( 0.04) | 72.57% ( -0.04) |
Burnley Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.27% ( 0.03) | 12.73% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
61.03% ( 0.05) | 38.97% ( -0.05) |
Preston North End Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
44.34% ( -0.01) | 55.66% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
11.73% ( -0.01) | 88.27% ( 0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Burnley | Draw | Preston North End |
2-0 @ 15.05% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 14.6% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 10.34% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.82% ( -0) 3-1 @ 6.06% ( 0) 4-0 @ 5.33% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 3.12% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 2.2% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.78% 5-1 @ 1.29% ( 0) 4-2 @ 0.92% ( 0) Other @ 2.53% Total : 72.02% | 1-1 @ 8.56% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.08% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 2.58% ( -0) Other @ 0.37% Total : 18.6% | 0-1 @ 4.15% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 2.51% ( -0) 0-2 @ 1.22% ( -0) Other @ 1.5% Total : 9.37% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sunderland | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 31 |
2 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 31 |
3 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 24 | 9 | 15 | 29 |
4 | Burnley | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 18 | 6 | 12 | 27 |
5 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 15 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 25 |
6 | Watford | 15 | 8 | 1 | 6 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 25 |
7 | Middlesbrough | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 23 | 17 | 6 | 24 |
8 | Millwall | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 23 |
9 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 19 | 17 | 2 | 22 |
10 | Bristol City | 15 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 22 |
11 | Swansea CitySwansea | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 19 |
12 | Derby CountyDerby | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 19 |
13 | Stoke CityStoke | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 19 | -1 | 19 |
14 | Norwich CityNorwich | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 18 |
15 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 25 | -8 | 18 |
16 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 17 |
17 | Coventry CityCoventry | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 20 | 21 | -1 | 16 |
18 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 16 |
19 | Hull City | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 16 | 20 | -4 | 15 |
20 | Preston North EndPreston | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 15 |
21 | Luton TownLuton | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 26 | -9 | 15 |
22 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 23 | -9 | 15 |
23 | Portsmouth | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 12 |
24 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 15 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 25 | -13 | 10 |
> Championship Full Table |