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Championship | Gameweek 9
Oct 5, 2024 at 12.30pm UK
Turf Moor
Preston North End logo

Burnley
0 - 0
Preston


Foster (66'), Brownhill (69'), Egan Riley (71')
FT

Hughes (26'), Woodman (44'), Whiteman (55'), McCann (69')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Burnley and Preston North End, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Burnley 1-0 Plymouth
Tuesday, October 1 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Preston 3-0 Watford
Wednesday, October 2 at 7.45pm in Championship

We said: Burnley 2-0 Preston North End

Unbeaten at home in the Championship so far, Burnley will be confident of recording another win at Turf Moor against one of their Lancashire rivals. Preston have failed to earn three points on the road in the second tier during 2024-25, and we do not expect their maiden away success to arrive at the home of a promotion favourite on Saturday afternoon. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 55.52%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Preston North End had a probability of 21.16%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.82%) and 2-0 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.07%), while for a Preston North End win it was 0-1 (6.24%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.

Result
BurnleyDrawPreston North End
55.52% (2.941 2.94) 23.31% (-0.418 -0.42) 21.16% (-2.524 -2.52)
Both teams to score 52.5% (-1.954 -1.95)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.44% (-0.994 -0.99)47.56% (0.995 0.99)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.23% (-0.927 -0.93)69.77% (0.92700000000001 0.93)
Burnley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.03% (0.70700000000001 0.71)16.97% (-0.707 -0.71)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.93% (1.241 1.24)47.07% (-1.241 -1.24)
Preston North End Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.23% (-2.916 -2.92)36.77% (2.915 2.92)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.44% (-3.036 -3.04)73.56% (3.036 3.04)
Score Analysis
    Burnley 55.52%
    Preston North End 21.16%
    Draw 23.31%
BurnleyDrawPreston North End
1-0 @ 11.06% (0.69 0.69)
2-1 @ 9.82% (0.088000000000001 0.09)
2-0 @ 9.82% (0.83 0.83)
3-1 @ 5.81% (0.185 0.19)
3-0 @ 5.8% (0.613 0.61)
3-2 @ 2.91% (-0.139 -0.14)
4-1 @ 2.58% (0.14 0.14)
4-0 @ 2.57% (0.325 0.33)
4-2 @ 1.29% (-0.031 -0.03)
5-0 @ 0.91% (0.134 0.13)
5-1 @ 0.91% (0.069 0.07)
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 55.52%
1-1 @ 11.07% (-0.16 -0.16)
0-0 @ 6.24% (0.255 0.26)
2-2 @ 4.91% (-0.358 -0.36)
3-3 @ 0.97% (-0.13 -0.13)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 23.31%
0-1 @ 6.24% (-0.239 -0.24)
1-2 @ 5.54% (-0.543 -0.54)
0-2 @ 3.12% (-0.388 -0.39)
1-3 @ 1.85% (-0.348 -0.35)
2-3 @ 1.64% (-0.264 -0.26)
0-3 @ 1.04% (-0.226 -0.23)
Other @ 1.73%
Total : 21.16%

How you voted: Burnley vs Preston

Burnley
83.9%
Draw
11.5%
Preston North End
4.6%
87
Head to Head
Feb 11, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 31
Burnley
3-0
Preston
Tella (15', 55', 58')
Sep 13, 2022 8pm
Sep 1, 2020 2pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Preston
0-0
Burnley
Jul 23, 2018 7.45pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Preston
2-3
Burnley
Harrop (22'), Robinson (74')
Lennon (26'), Agyei (72'), McNeil (84')
Jul 25, 2017 7.45pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Preston
1-2
Burnley
Maguire (65')
Walters (21'), Vokes (55')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds362210472234976
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd36246651272476
3Burnley362014249103974
4Sunderland361911654332168
5Coventry CityCoventry36168125246656
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom361316746321455
7Bristol City36131494639753
8Blackburn RoversBlackburn36157144137452
9Middlesbrough36148145547850
10Norwich CityNorwich361213115749849
11Watford36147154650-449
12Millwall361212123637-148
13Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds36139145056-648
14Queens Park RangersQPR361111144146-544
15Swansea CitySwansea36128163846-844
16Preston North EndPreston36916113642-643
17Portsmouth36119164457-1342
18Oxford UnitedOxford Utd36912153753-1639
19Hull City36910173645-937
20Stoke CityStoke36812163650-1436
21Cardiff CityCardiff36812163959-2036
22Derby CountyDerby3688203549-1432
23Luton TownLuton3687213259-2731
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth36612183673-3730


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