Southampton2 - 1Blackpool
Form, Standings, Stats
Tuesday, January 24 at 8pm in EFL Cup
Saturday, January 14 at 3pm in Championship
We said: Southampton 2-1 Blackpool
Southampton have bigger fish to fry in the Premier League and EFL Cup at the moment, and a classic case of new manager bounce cannot come quickly enough for a woeful Blackpool side. The Tangerines may have taught Forest a footballing lesson in the third round, but their dismal streak of form makes it difficult to predict a shock result here, and a rotated Southampton team should do just about enough to progress. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 45.82%. A win for Blackpool had a probability of 29.01% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.24%) and 2-0 (7.83%). The likeliest Blackpool win was 0-1 (7.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.93%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Southampton in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Southampton.
| Result | ||
| Southampton | Draw | Blackpool |
45.82% ( 0.15) | 25.16% ( 0.01) | 29.01% ( -0.17) |
| Both teams to score 54.53% ( -0.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.32% ( -0.16) | 48.68% ( 0.16) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.21% ( -0.15) | 70.79% ( 0.14) |
| Southampton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.73% ( -0) | 21.26% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 45.81% ( 0) | 54.18% ( -0) |
| Blackpool Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.26% ( -0.21) | 30.73% ( 0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 33% ( -0.25) | 66.99% ( 0.24) |
| Score Analysis |
| Southampton | Draw | Blackpool |
| 1-0 @ 10.11% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 9.24% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 7.83% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 4.77% ( 0)3-0 @ 4.04% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 2.81% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.85% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.56% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.09% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.51% Total : 45.81% | 1-1 @ 11.93% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.53% ( 0.04)2-2 @ 5.45% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1.11% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.16% | 0-1 @ 7.71% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.04% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 4.55% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 2.77% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 2.14% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 1.79% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.01% Total : 29.02% |
