Without anything left to play for this season, Fatih Karagumruk will be hoping to avoid a surprise defeat when they host relegation-threatened Giresunspor on Saturday afternoon.
Hovering dangerously above the relegation zone, Giresunspor's 10-point buffer should be enough to see them extend their top-flight stay and avoid relegation to the second tier.
Match preview
A recent upsurge in form, coupled with a dramatic downturn in that of their opponents, has seen Giresunspor's predicament softened somewhat.
Unlikely to face the drop, Giresunspor will be confident of seeing out the remaining five matches of the season, while falling back on their 10-point cushion over 17th-placed Altay if needed.
With four teams set to drop out of the Super Lig this season, the odds on Giresunspor dropping out have dramatically shortened, not least because of their current three-game unbeaten run.
A much-needed win away to Yeni Malatyaspor was sandwiched in between impressive draws to Sivasspor and Besiktas.
For Karagumruk, their end-of-season form has not caught the imagination of many, but it has not mattered as they are sitting comfortably in mid-table.
While only seven points separate Karagumruk to the European berths, a competitive challenging pack around them makes it unlikely they will be able to squeeze through and secure a continental position.
Instead, they will have to settle for mid-table mediocrity this year, but an impressive head-to-head record over Saturday's opponents might offer Karagumruk some optimism heading into the weekend fixtures.
Karagumruk have lost just one of their four meetings with Giresunspor, although that defeat did come in their only other Super Lig fixture earlier this season.
Boasting two victories in other competitions over Giresunspor, Karagumruk will be keen to pick up a first-ever top-flight win over the Cotanaklar.
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Team News
A win is likely to secure Giresunspor's status as a first tier club, but they will be without Arda Kilic for the visit.
The midfielder has been recovering from an ACL injury, but will not feature again for Giresunspor until next season at least.
That will increase the pressure on Fousseni Diabate, who has top scored for Giresunspor and will make up most of their attacking threat.
By contrast, Karagumruk have a couple more injuries to contend with, most notably Kerim Frei whose muscle problem looks set to keep him out for another week at least.
While expected to be back in the starting XI before the end of the season, Frei will also be joined in the treatment room by Rayyan Baniya, who is also nursing a muscle problem.
Fatih Karagumruk possible starting lineup:
Viviano; Luckassen, Biraschi, Bekaroglu, Erkin; Biglia; Karamoh, Bistrovic, Mercan, Musa; Pesic
Giresunspor possible starting lineup:
Kocuk; Bilazer, Diarra, Perez, Behich; Traore, Flavio; Diabate, Chiquinho; Suleymanov; Nayir
We say: Fatih Karagumruk 1-1 Giresunspor
Two teams who will likely lock horns once again next season, Giresunspor will be hoping to pick up that vital victory which should see their Super Lig status retained.
While unlikely to come this weekend, Giresunspor can expect to leave their clash with Karagumruk having picked up points of some kind.
Top tip
Amos Murphy
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fatih Karagumruk win with a probability of 50.56%. A win for Giresunspor had a probability of 24.8% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fatih Karagumruk win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.56%) and 2-0 (8.97%). The likeliest Giresunspor win was 0-1 (7.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fatih Karagumruk would win this match.
