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[monks data]
France national football team
European Championship | Round of 16
Jun 28, 2021 at 8pm UK
Arena Naţională
Switzerland national football team

France
3 - 3
Switzerland

Benzema (57', 59'), Pogba (75')
Varane (30'), Coman (88'), Pavard (91')
FT
(aet)
Seferovic (15', 81'), Gavranovic (90')
Elvedi (32'), Rodriguez (61'), Xhaka (76'), Akanji (108')
Switzerland win 5-4 on penalties

Preview: France vs. Switzerland - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Monday's European Championship clash between France and Switzerland, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Switzerland will aim to produce a shock of seismic proportions during their Euro 2020 last-16 clash on Monday, as they gear up to meet reigning world champions France at the National Arena in Bucharest.

Les Bleus finished first in the group of death to seal progress into the knockout rounds, while Switzerland managed to qualify as one of the four best third-placed outfits.


Match preview

France head coach Didier Deschamps pictured on June 8, 2021© Reuters

Not even the reigning World Cup holders could progress from the Euro 2020 group of death with nine points to their name, as Didier Deschamps's men could not replicate their opening-day performance against Germany during clashes with Hungary or Portugal in Group F.

The resilient Hungarians - who won the hearts of the neutrals despite finishing bottom of the group - managed to take a point from their clash with France, while a record-equalling and record-breaking evening for Cristiano Ronaldo saw the five-time Ballon d'Or winner cancel out Karim Benzema's own brace during a 2-2 draw on the final matchday.

A clean sweep in Group F was always going to be a pipe dream for France, but Deschamps nevertheless witnessed his side take top spot in the group to make the knockout stages for the third time in succession, although Hungary have proved that the world champions are far from the force they were in Russia three years ago.

With Kylian Mbappe still struggling to find his shooting boots amid persistent speculation surrounding his future, Deschamps would do well to get the best out of the Paris Saint-Germain attacker lest France risk an underwhelming finish at the Euros, although their last competitive defeat came over two years ago.

Les Bleus' 2-2 draw with Portugal on June 23 did mark their 10th game unbeaten across all competitions since their shock friendly defeat to Finland last year, and while their favourites tag is still present, Switzerland have every right to believe that a surprise result could be theirs for the taking.

Switzerland's Xherdan Shaqiri celebrates scoring their third goal against Turkey at Euro 2020 on June 20, 2021© Reuters

In spite of all of his struggles at Liverpool, Xherdan Shaqiri needed no extra motivation to produce the goods for his national team, as the 29-year-old's brace set the Swiss on their way to a resounding 3-1 success over an under-performing Turkey on matchday three.

Haris Seferovic's opener preceded Shaqiri's brace - while Steven Zuber also grabbed headlines after setting up all three of his country's goals on the day - as Switzerland recovered from their draw with Wales and defeat to Italy to progress in third place.

It was far from a vintage group-stage campaign for Vladimir Petkovic's side, but the spot in the last-16 is all that matters for the Swiss, who have now successfully advanced to the knockout stages of a major tournament four times in succession.

However, Switzerland have been sent packing at this stage three times in a row at a World Cup or Euros since 2014, and while France's somewhat underwhelming results in the group stage do make for positive reading, Petkovic will certainly sprinkle a dose of realism on his side's chances before facing the world champions.

France and Switzerland played out a drab goalless stalemate at Euro 2016 - two years after Les Bleus ran out 5-2 winners at the 2014 World Cup - and Switzerland are without victory in this fixture since a 1992 friendly.

France European Championship form:
  • W
  • D
  • D

France form (all competitions):
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • D
  • D

Switzerland European Championship form:
  • D
  • L
  • W

Switzerland form (all competitions):
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • D
  • L
  • W



Team News

France forward Ousmane Dembele pictured on June 19, 2021© Reuters

France's infirmary is filling up at the worst possible time for Deschamps, who will have to cope without Ousmane Dembele for the remainder of the tournament, while Lucas Digne, Marcus Thuram and Jules Kounde will also miss out the last-16 clash.

Digne only lasted seven minutes as a substitute against Portugal before being forced off, so Deschamps will desperately hope to recover Lucas Hernandez in time, otherwise Leo Dubois or Adrien Rabiot may have to deputise as an emergency left-wing back.

The France coach is reportedly preparing to field a back three for the last-16 battle, which would see Corentin Tolisso's spot in midfield sacrificed as Clement Lenglet beefs up the Bleus defence.

Thomas Lemar also picked up a minor injury in training which he will attempt to shake off before Monday, but Deschamps is unlikely to consider shuffling his attacking contingent.

In contrast, Switzerland are well-placed to name their strongest XI for the last-16 clash, as Petkovic has no injury or suspension concerns whatsoever for the trip to Bucharest.

Remo Freuler has kept Denis Zakaria out of the team so far and should do so again here, and the only real dilemma for Petkovic is whether to start Kevin Mbabu or Silvan Widmer on the right-hand side.

Shaqiri's brace against Turkey saw him become Switzerland's all-time top goalscorer at the Euros and World Cup combined, and a strike against Les Bleus would also see the Liverpool man overtake Hakan Yakin (three) to become his country's highest scorer at the Euros.

France possible starting lineup:
Lloris; Varane, Lenglet, Kimpembe; Pavard, Kante, Pogba, Hernandez; Griezmann; Mbappe, Benzema

Switzerland possible starting lineup:
Sommer; Elvedi, Akanji, Rodriguez; Widmer, Xhaka, Freuler, Zuber; Shaqiri; Embolo, Seferovic


SM words green background

We say: France 2-1 Switzerland

Switzerland ought to take advantage of France's depleted left-hand side if Hernandez joins Digne on the sidelines for this contest, but trying to keep Deschamps's side quiet at the other end of the pitch is where the real challenges lie.

While we think the Swiss - who have had the luxury of a few more days off - can trouble France's defence and find the back of the net, Les Bleus should still pull through over the course of 90 minutes, but it is likely to be a closer affair than some may anticipate.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting over 1.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Over 1.5:data



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a France win with a probability of 51.92%. A win for Switzerland had a probability of 25.11% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for a France win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.87%) and 2-0 (8.08%). The likeliest Switzerland win was 1-2 (6.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.64%).


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Data Failed

How you voted: France vs Switzerland

France
78.8%
Draw
11.9%
Switzerland
9.3%
353
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France's Antoine Griezmann celebrates scoring their first goal with teammates on June 8, 2021
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Group A

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Germany Germany32107
Q Switzerland Switzerland31205
3 Hungary Hungary31023
4 Scotland flag Scotland30121

Group B

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Spain Spain33009
Q Italy Italy31114
3 Croatia Croatia30212
4 Albania national flag Albania30121

Group C

TeamPWDLPTS
Q England flag England31205
Q Denmark Denmark30303
Q Slovenia Slovenia30303
4 Serbia Serbia30212

Group D

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Austria Austria32016
Q France France31205
Q Netherlands Netherlands31114
4 Poland Poland30121

Group E

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Romania Romania31114
Q Belgium Belgium31114
Q Slovakia Slovakia31114
4 Ukraine Ukraine31114

Group F

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Portugal Portugal32016
Q Turkey Turkey32016
Q Georgia Georgia31114
4 Czech Republic Czech Republic30121


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