MX23RW : Monday, November 4 22:42:38| >> :60:43:43:
PSG logo
Club Friendlies
Jul 28, 2023 at 11.20am UK
Yanmar Stadium Nagai

PSG
2 - 3
Cerezo

Ekitike (17'), Vitinha (49')
Hernandez (82')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Croux (22'), Kitano (67'), Kagawa (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's friendly clash between Paris Saint-Germain and Cerezo Osaka, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: PSG 0-0 Al-Nassr
Tuesday, July 25 at 11.20am in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Cerezo 2-0 Urawa
Sunday, July 16 at 11am in J1 League

We said: Paris Saint-Germain 3-1 Cerezo Osaka

There is no denying that there is a huge gulf in class between these sides, and Enrique will demand a lot more from Les Parisians in this match than the last. We expect them to respond with a solid win as they build momentum toward the incoming campaign, where they will need a good start to silence their critics during a tricky phase for the club. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 68.07%. A draw had a probability of 17.8% and a win for Cerezo Osaka had a probability of 14.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.65%) and 1-0 (8.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.13%), while for a Cerezo Osaka win it was 1-2 (4.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood.

Result
Paris Saint-GermainDrawCerezo Osaka
68.07% (0.17699999999999 0.18) 17.82% (-0.065999999999999 -0.07) 14.1% (-0.111 -0.11)
Both teams to score 56.99% (-0.070999999999998 -0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.31% (0.054999999999993 0.05)34.68% (-0.055999999999997 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.36% (0.064 0.06)56.63% (-0.064 -0.06)
Paris Saint-Germain Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.68% (0.054000000000002 0.05)9.32% (-0.055999999999999 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
68.57% (0.131 0.13)31.43% (-0.133 -0.13)
Cerezo Osaka Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.84% (-0.117 -0.12)37.16% (0.116 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.05% (-0.117 -0.12)73.94% (0.116 0.12)
Score Analysis
    Paris Saint-Germain 68.07%
    Cerezo Osaka 14.1%
    Draw 17.82%
Paris Saint-GermainDrawCerezo Osaka
2-0 @ 9.75% (0.022 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.65% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
1-0 @ 8.22% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 7.71% (0.036 0.04)
3-1 @ 7.64% (0.012 0.01)
4-0 @ 4.58% (0.033 0.03)
4-1 @ 4.53% (0.018 0.02)
3-2 @ 3.78% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
4-2 @ 2.24% (0.0019999999999998 0)
5-0 @ 2.17% (0.021 0.02)
5-1 @ 2.15% (0.014 0.01)
5-2 @ 1.07% (0.004 0)
Other @ 4.59%
Total : 68.07%
1-1 @ 8.13% (-0.029000000000002 -0.03)
2-2 @ 4.78% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 3.46% (-0.01 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.25% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 17.82%
1-2 @ 4.03% (-0.027 -0.03)
0-1 @ 3.43% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-2 @ 1.7% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.58% (-0.011 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.33% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 14.1%

How you voted: PSG vs Cerezo

Paris Saint-Germain
86.4%
Draw
4.5%
Cerezo Osaka
9.1%
22
rhs 2.0
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5Arsenal105321711618
6Aston Villa105321715218
7Tottenham HotspurSpurs1051422111116
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9Fulham104331413115
10Bournemouth104331312115
11Newcastle UnitedNewcastle104331010015
12Brentford104151920-113
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd10334912-312
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham103251319-611
15Leicester CityLeicester102441418-410
16Everton102351017-79
17Crystal Palace10145813-57
18Ipswich TownIpswich100551021-115
19Southampton10118719-124
20Wolverhampton WanderersWolves100371427-133


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