MX23RW : Wednesday, May 14 23:29:12| >> :60:69:69:
PSG logo
Club Friendlies
Jul 28, 2023 at 11.20am UK
Yanmar Stadium Nagai

PSG
2 - 3
Cerezo

Ekitike (17'), Vitinha (49')
Hernandez (82')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Croux (22'), Kitano (67'), Kagawa (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's friendly clash between Paris Saint-Germain and Cerezo Osaka, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: PSG 0-0 Al-Nassr
Tuesday, July 25 at 11.20am in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Cerezo 2-0 Urawa
Sunday, July 16 at 11am in J1 League

We said: Paris Saint-Germain 3-1 Cerezo Osaka

There is no denying that there is a huge gulf in class between these sides, and Enrique will demand a lot more from Les Parisians in this match than the last. We expect them to respond with a solid win as they build momentum toward the incoming campaign, where they will need a good start to silence their critics during a tricky phase for the club. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 68.07%. A draw had a probability of 17.8% and a win for Cerezo Osaka had a probability of 14.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.65%) and 1-0 (8.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.13%), while for a Cerezo Osaka win it was 1-2 (4.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood.

Result
Paris Saint-GermainDrawCerezo Osaka
68.07% (0.17699999999999 0.18) 17.82% (-0.065999999999999 -0.07) 14.1% (-0.111 -0.11)
Both teams to score 56.99% (-0.070999999999998 -0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.31% (0.054999999999993 0.05)34.68% (-0.055999999999997 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.36% (0.064 0.06)56.63% (-0.064 -0.06)
Paris Saint-Germain Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.68% (0.054000000000002 0.05)9.32% (-0.055999999999999 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
68.57% (0.131 0.13)31.43% (-0.133 -0.13)
Cerezo Osaka Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.84% (-0.117 -0.12)37.16% (0.116 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.05% (-0.117 -0.12)73.94% (0.116 0.12)
Score Analysis
    Paris Saint-Germain 68.07%
    Cerezo Osaka 14.1%
    Draw 17.82%
Paris Saint-GermainDrawCerezo Osaka
2-0 @ 9.75% (0.022 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.65% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
1-0 @ 8.22% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 7.71% (0.036 0.04)
3-1 @ 7.64% (0.012 0.01)
4-0 @ 4.58% (0.033 0.03)
4-1 @ 4.53% (0.018 0.02)
3-2 @ 3.78% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
4-2 @ 2.24% (0.0019999999999998 0)
5-0 @ 2.17% (0.021 0.02)
5-1 @ 2.15% (0.014 0.01)
5-2 @ 1.07% (0.004 0)
Other @ 4.59%
Total : 68.07%
1-1 @ 8.13% (-0.029000000000002 -0.03)
2-2 @ 4.78% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 3.46% (-0.01 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.25% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 17.82%
1-2 @ 4.03% (-0.027 -0.03)
0-1 @ 3.43% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-2 @ 1.7% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.58% (-0.011 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.33% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 14.1%

How you voted: PSG vs Cerezo

Paris Saint-Germain
Draw
Cerezo Osaka
Paris Saint-Germain
86.4%
Draw
4.5%
Cerezo Osaka
9.1%
22
rhs 2.0
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2Arsenal361814466333368
3Newcastle UnitedNewcastle362061068452366
4Manchester CityMan City36198967432465
5Chelsea36189962431963
6Aston Villa3618995649763
7Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest361881056441262
8Brentford361671363531055
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton36141395956355
10Bournemouth3614111155431253
11Fulham36149135150151
12Crystal Palace361213114648-249
13Everton36915123944-542
14Wolverhampton WanderersWolves36125195164-1341
15West Ham UnitedWest Ham361010164259-1740
16Manchester UnitedMan Utd36109174253-1139
17Tottenham HotspurSpurs36115206359438
RIpswich TownIpswich36410223577-4222
RLeicester CityLeicester3657243178-4722
RSouthampton3626282582-5712


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