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J1 League | Gameweek 18
Jun 24, 2023 at 6am UK
Sapporo Dome

Consadole
1 - 4
Cerezo

Arano (45')
Asano (73')
FT(HT: 1-3)
Ceara (2'), Kato (17'), Kida (38'), Kagawa (76')
Funaki (68')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's J1 League clash between Consadole Sapporo and Cerezo Osaka, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sagan Tosu 1-1 Consadole
Saturday, June 10 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Cerezo 2-1 Vissel Kobe
Saturday, June 10 at 11am in J1 League

We said: Consadole Sapporo 2-1 Cerezo Osaka

Consadole Sapporo have won three of their last four meetings with Cerezo Osaka, and with home advantage in their favour, we think that the hosts will claim another victory in Saturday's contest. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Consadole Sapporo win with a probability of 45.21%. A win for Cerezo Osaka had a probability of 29.7% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Consadole Sapporo win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.2%) and 2-0 (7.62%). The likeliest Cerezo Osaka win was 0-1 (7.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood.

Result
Consadole SapporoDrawCerezo Osaka
45.21% (0.271 0.27) 25.09% (0.192 0.19) 29.7% (-0.459 -0.46)
Both teams to score 55.19% (-0.896 -0.9)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.99% (-1.051 -1.05)48.01% (1.055 1.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.82% (-0.972 -0.97)70.18% (0.977 0.98)
Consadole Sapporo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.74% (-0.31400000000001 -0.31)21.26% (0.318 0.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.82% (-0.49 -0.49)54.18% (0.494 0.49)
Cerezo Osaka Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.1% (-0.851 -0.85)29.9% (0.856 0.86)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34% (-1.041 -1.04)66% (1.044 1.04)
Score Analysis
    Consadole Sapporo 45.21%
    Cerezo Osaka 29.7%
    Draw 25.09%
Consadole SapporoDrawCerezo Osaka
1-0 @ 9.84% (0.332 0.33)
2-1 @ 9.2% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-0 @ 7.62% (0.186 0.19)
3-1 @ 4.75% (-0.040999999999999 -0.04)
3-0 @ 3.93% (0.059 0.06)
3-2 @ 2.87% (-0.094 -0.09)
4-1 @ 1.84% (-0.034 -0.03)
4-0 @ 1.52% (0.008 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.11% (-0.048 -0.05)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 45.21%
1-1 @ 11.88% (0.13 0.13)
0-0 @ 6.36% (0.274 0.27)
2-2 @ 5.55% (-0.128 -0.13)
3-3 @ 1.15% (-0.067 -0.07)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.09%
0-1 @ 7.68% (0.154 0.15)
1-2 @ 7.17% (-0.094 -0.09)
0-2 @ 4.63% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-3 @ 2.89% (-0.108 -0.11)
2-3 @ 2.24% (-0.106 -0.11)
0-3 @ 1.86% (-0.052 -0.05)
Other @ 3.24%
Total : 29.7%

How you voted: Consadole vs Cerezo

Consadole Sapporo
87.5%
Draw
0.0%
Cerezo Osaka
12.5%
8
Head to Head
Apr 9, 2023 6am
Gameweek 7
Cerezo
2-3
Consadole
Ceara (14' pen., 61')
Kaneko (6', 15'), Tanaka (64')
Sep 2, 2022 11.30am
Gameweek 28
Consadole
2-1
Cerezo
Gun-hee (86'), Aoki (90+4')
Nakahara (78')
Mar 19, 2022 7am
Gameweek 5
Cerezo
2-2
Consadole
Yamada (25'), Mendes (62')
Okamura (30'), Kaneko (76')
Sep 11, 2021 10am
Gameweek 28
Cerezo
0-2
Consadole

Inui (41')
Douglas (73'), Aoki (75')
Suga (56'), Fernandes (82')
Sep 8, 2021 11am
Gameweek 19
Consadole
0-3
Cerezo
Fujita (45+1'), Matsuda (51'), Okubo (88')
Tiago (90+2')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
Titans
31-12
Dolphins
1.15am
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Lions
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sanfrecce HiroshimaHiroshima321711463323162
2Vissel KobeVissel Kobe32187751302161
3Machida Zelvia32178746242259
4Kashima AntlersKashima Antlers3114894839950
5Gamba OsakaGamba Osaka31131173526950
6Tokyo Verdy32121284242048
7FC Tokyo32138114643347
8Nagoya GrampusNagoya Grampus32144144038246
9Cerezo OsakaCerezo31101293840-242
10Yokohama F MarinosYokohama31125145253-141
11Kawasaki FrontaleKawasaki311010115045540
12Avispa Fukuoka32913102833-540
13Urawa Red DiamondsUrawa30109114340339
14Albirex Niigata32109134351-839
15Kyoto Sanga31108133750-1338
16Shonan BellmareShonan Bellmare3298154450-635
17Kashiwa ReysolReysol31811123444-1035
18Jubilo Iwata3188153651-1532
19Consadole SapporoConsadole3278173657-2129
20Sagan Tosu3274213862-2425


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