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J1 League | Gameweek 21
Jul 16, 2023 at 11am UK
Yanmar Stadium Nagai

Cerezo
2 - 0
Urawa

Ceara (8'), Croux (25')
Croux (28'), Ceara (45+2')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Okubo (49')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's J1 League clash between Cerezo Osaka and Urawa Red Diamonds, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sagan Tosu 2-1 Cerezo
Saturday, July 8 at 11.30am in J1 League
Last Game: Urawa 0-0 FC Tokyo
Saturday, July 8 at 11am in J1 League

We said: Cerezo Osaka 1-3 Urawa Red Diamonds

Cerezo recorded a decent victory in the cup on Wednesday, but the visit of Urawa to Yodoko Sakura Stadium will be a much harder assignment for the hosts. The Red Diamonds look set to continue their assault on the J League's top three, and we believe they will make it 15 games unbeaten in all competitions on Sunday evening. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Urawa Red Diamonds win with a probability of 41.05%. A win for Cerezo Osaka had a probability of 30.25% and a draw had a probability of 28.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Urawa Red Diamonds win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.09%) and 0-2 (8.05%). The likeliest Cerezo Osaka win was 1-0 (10.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.

Result
Cerezo OsakaDrawUrawa Red Diamonds
30.25% (0.010000000000002 0.01) 28.7% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 41.05% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)
Both teams to score 44.72% (0.010999999999996 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.45% (0.010999999999996 0.01)61.55% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.6% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)81.4% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Cerezo Osaka Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.41% (0.013999999999996 0.01)36.59% (-0.014999999999993 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.62% (0.013999999999999 0.01)73.38% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)
Urawa Red Diamonds Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.52% (0.0019999999999953 0)29.47% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.52% (0.00099999999999767 0)65.48% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Score Analysis
    Cerezo Osaka 30.25%
    Urawa Red Diamonds 41.05%
    Draw 28.69%
Cerezo OsakaDrawUrawa Red Diamonds
1-0 @ 10.84%
2-1 @ 6.66% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-0 @ 5.45% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-1 @ 2.23% (0.0020000000000002 0)
3-0 @ 1.83% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 1.36% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 1.87%
Total : 30.25%
1-1 @ 13.24%
0-0 @ 10.78%
2-2 @ 4.07% (0.0019999999999998 0)
Other @ 0.6%
Total : 28.69%
0-1 @ 13.17%
1-2 @ 8.09%
0-2 @ 8.05% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 3.3%
0-3 @ 3.28% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 1.66%
1-4 @ 1.01%
0-4 @ 1%
Other @ 1.5%
Total : 41.05%

How you voted: Cerezo vs Urawa

Cerezo Osaka
16.7%
Draw
16.7%
Urawa Red Diamonds
66.7%
12
Head to Head
Mar 4, 2023 6am
Sep 14, 2022 11.30am
Gameweek 26
Urawa
0-1
Cerezo
Kato (24')
May 25, 2022 11am
Gameweek 15
Cerezo
2-0
Urawa
Kiyotake (67' pen.), Maikuma (89')
Yamanaka (33')
Sep 18, 2021 11am
Gameweek 29
Urawa
2-0
Cerezo
Esaka (10'), Yuruki (59')
Akimoto (75')
Apr 18, 2021 7am
Gameweek 10
Cerezo
1-0
Urawa
Maruhashi (66')

Nishi (39'), Iwanami (72'), Shibato (90+4')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Vissel KobeVissel Kobe38219861362572
2Sanfrecce HiroshimaHiroshima381911872432968
3Machida Zelvia381991054342066
4Gamba OsakaGamba Osaka381812849351466
5Kashima AntlersKashima Antlers381811960411965
6Tokyo Verdy381414105151056
7FC Tokyo38159145351254
8Kawasaki FrontaleKawasaki381313126657952
9Yokohama F MarinosYokohama38157166162-152
10Cerezo OsakaCerezo381313124348-552
11Nagoya GrampusNagoya Grampus38155184447-350
12Avispa Fukuoka381214123338-550
13Urawa Red DiamondsUrawa381212144945448
14Kyoto Sanga381211154355-1247
15Shonan BellmareShonan Bellmare38129175358-545
16Albirex Niigata381012164459-1542
17Kashiwa ReysolReysol38914153951-1241
18Jubilo Iwata38108204768-2138
19Consadole SapporoConsadole38910194366-2337
20Sagan Tosu38105234868-2035


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