Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 37

May 27, 2023 at 8pm UK

Stade de la Meinau

Strasbourg
1 - 1
PSG

Gameiro (79')
Diarra (23')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Messi (59')
Vitinha (6'), Verratti (75')

Lionel Messi breaks Cristiano Ronaldo scoring record in PSG title win

Lionel Messi breaks a European goalscoring record set by Cristiano Ronaldo in Paris Saint-Germain's title-winning 1-1 draw with Strasbourg in Ligue 1.

May 27, 23:58

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Strasbourg

All competitions

Last Game: Troyes 1-1 Strasbourg
Sunday, May 21 at 2pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Paris Saint-Germain

All competitions

Last Game: Auxerre 1-2 PSG
Sunday, May 21 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 58%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Strasbourg had a probability of 20.49%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.09%) and 0-2 (9.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.98%), while for a Strasbourg win it was 2-1 (5.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood.

Result
Strasbourg	Draw	Paris Saint-Germain
20.49% ( 0.17)	21.5% ( 0.03)	58% ( -0.21)

Both teams to score 57.49% (

0.17)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.55% (

0.09)

40.45% (

-0.09)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.17% (

0.09)

62.82% (

-0.09)

Strasbourg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.62% (

0.22)

33.37% (

-0.22)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30% (

0.24)

70% (

-0.24)

Paris Saint-Germain Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.29% (

-0.03)

13.7% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59.05% (

-0.06)

40.94% (

0.06)

Score Analysis

Strasbourg 20.49%

Paris Saint-Germain 58%

Draw 21.5%

Strasbourg	Draw	Paris Saint-Germain
2-1 @ 5.47% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 5.02% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 2.75% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 2% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 1.99% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 1.01% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.24% Total : 20.49%	1-1 @ 9.98% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.44% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 4.57% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.32% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.2% Total : 21.5%	1-2 @ 9.91% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 9.09% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 9.03% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 6.57% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 5.98% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 3.6% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 3.26% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 2.97% ( -0.03) 2-4 @ 1.79% ( 0.01) 1-5 @ 1.3% ( -0.01) 0-5 @ 1.18% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.31% Total : 58%