Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 65.05%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for Auxerre had a probability of 15.17%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.22%) and 1-2 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.34%), while for an Auxerre win it was 1-0 (4.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.
Result | ||
Auxerre | Draw | Paris Saint-Germain |
15.17% (![]() | 19.77% (![]() | 65.05% (![]() |
Both teams to score 52.65% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.35% (![]() | 41.64% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.95% (![]() | 64.04% (![]() |
Auxerre Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.85% (![]() | 40.14% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.22% (![]() | 76.77% (![]() |
Paris Saint-Germain Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.96% (![]() | 12.03% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
62.48% (![]() | 37.52% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Auxerre | Draw | Paris Saint-Germain |
1-0 @ 4.41% (![]() 2-1 @ 4.26% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 2.01% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 1.37% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 1.3% ( ![]() Other @ 1.82% Total : 15.17% | 1-1 @ 9.34% (![]() 0-0 @ 4.83% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 4.51% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 0.97% ( ![]() Other @ 0.13% Total : 19.77% | 0-2 @ 10.82% (![]() 0-1 @ 10.22% ( ![]() 1-2 @ 9.88% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 7.64% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 6.98% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 4.05% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 3.69% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 3.18% ( ![]() 0-5 @ 1.71% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.69% ( ![]() 1-5 @ 1.56% ( ![]() Other @ 3.61% Total : 65.04% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 25 | 20 | 5 | 0 | 70 | 24 | 46 | 65 |
2 | Marseille | 25 | 15 | 4 | 6 | 52 | 30 | 22 | 49 |
3 | Nice | 25 | 13 | 7 | 5 | 49 | 30 | 19 | 46 |
4 | MonacoMonaco | 25 | 13 | 5 | 7 | 49 | 32 | 17 | 44 |
5 | Lille | 25 | 12 | 8 | 5 | 40 | 27 | 13 | 44 |
6 | Lyon | 25 | 12 | 6 | 7 | 46 | 31 | 15 | 42 |
7 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 25 | 11 | 7 | 7 | 39 | 32 | 7 | 40 |
8 | Lens | 25 | 10 | 6 | 9 | 30 | 29 | 1 | 36 |
9 | Brest | 25 | 11 | 3 | 11 | 38 | 40 | -2 | 36 |
10 | Toulouse | 25 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 32 | 27 | 5 | 34 |
11 | Auxerre | 25 | 8 | 7 | 10 | 36 | 38 | -2 | 31 |
12 | Rennes | 25 | 9 | 2 | 14 | 35 | 36 | -1 | 29 |
13 | Angers | 25 | 7 | 6 | 12 | 26 | 40 | -14 | 27 |
14 | NantesNantes | 25 | 5 | 9 | 11 | 28 | 43 | -15 | 24 |
15 | Reims | 25 | 5 | 7 | 13 | 26 | 40 | -14 | 22 |
16 | Le HavreLe Havre | 25 | 6 | 3 | 16 | 24 | 51 | -27 | 21 |
17 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 25 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 25 | 57 | -32 | 20 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 25 | 4 | 3 | 18 | 21 | 59 | -38 | 15 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |