Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 65.05%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for Auxerre had a probability of 15.17%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.22%) and 1-2 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.34%), while for an Auxerre win it was 1-0 (4.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.
Result | ||
Auxerre | Draw | Paris Saint-Germain |
15.17% ( -0.07) | 19.77% ( -0.07) | 65.05% ( 0.13) |
Both teams to score 52.65% ( 0.06) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.35% ( 0.16) | 41.64% ( -0.16) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.95% ( 0.16) | 64.04% ( -0.16) |
Auxerre Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.85% ( 0.01) | 40.14% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.22% ( 0.01) | 76.77% ( -0.01) |
Paris Saint-Germain Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.96% ( 0.08) | 12.03% ( -0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
62.48% ( 0.17) | 37.52% ( -0.17) |
Score Analysis |
Auxerre | Draw | Paris Saint-Germain |
1-0 @ 4.41% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 4.26% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 2.01% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.37% ( 0) 3-1 @ 1.3% ( -0) Other @ 1.82% Total : 15.17% | 1-1 @ 9.34% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 4.83% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 4.51% ( -0) 3-3 @ 0.97% ( 0) Other @ 0.13% Total : 19.77% | 0-2 @ 10.82% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 10.22% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 9.88% ( -0) 0-3 @ 7.64% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 6.98% ( 0.02) 0-4 @ 4.05% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 3.69% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 3.18% ( 0.01) 0-5 @ 1.71% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 1.69% ( 0.01) 1-5 @ 1.56% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.61% Total : 65.04% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 11 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 33 | 10 | 23 | 29 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 18 | 8 | 10 | 23 |
3 | Marseille | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 24 | 15 | 9 | 20 |
4 | Lille | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 18 | 11 | 7 | 19 |
5 | Lyon | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 15 | 3 | 18 |
6 | Nice | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 21 | 11 | 10 | 17 |
7 | Reims | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 19 | 15 | 4 | 17 |
8 | Lens | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 17 |
9 | Auxerre | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 16 |
10 | Toulouse | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 15 |
11 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 20 | 22 | -2 | 13 |
12 | Brest | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 13 |
13 | Rennes | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 18 | -5 | 11 |
14 | NantesNantes | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 10 |
15 | Angers | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 20 | -7 | 10 |
16 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 10 | 25 | -15 | 10 |
17 | Le HavreLe Havre | 11 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 8 | 23 | -15 | 9 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 11 | 31 | -20 | 7 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |