MX23RW : Tuesday, November 5 05:10:45| >> :300:86500:86500:
J1 League | Gameweek 19
Jun 30, 2023 at 11am UK
Yanmar Stadium Nagai

Cerezo
0 - 1
Avispa Fukuoka

FT(HT: 0-1)
Lukian (22')
Mae (54'), Wellington (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's J1 League clash between Cerezo Osaka and Avispa Fukuoka, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Consadole 1-4 Cerezo
Saturday, June 24 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: Avispa Fukuoka 0-3 Vissel Kobe
Sunday, June 25 at 11am in J1 League

We said: Cerezo Osaka 2-0 Avispa Fukuoka

The fact that Avispa Fukuoka have failed to win a single match on the road this season is not something that sets them in good stead heading into this one, which is why Cerezo Osaka will be confident of securing three points here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerezo Osaka win with a probability of 49.38%. A draw had a probability of 28% and a win for Avispa Fukuoka had a probability of 22.65%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cerezo Osaka win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.44%) and 2-1 (8.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.62%), while for an Avispa Fukuoka win it was 0-1 (9.32%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood.

Result
Cerezo OsakaDrawAvispa Fukuoka
49.38% (0.45 0.45) 27.97% (-0.198 -0.2) 22.65% (-0.258 -0.26)
Both teams to score 41.46% (0.21700000000001 0.22)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
36.99% (0.412 0.41)63.01% (-0.417 -0.42)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.53% (0.298 0.3)82.47% (-0.303 -0.3)
Cerezo Osaka Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.18% (0.40700000000001 0.41)25.82% (-0.412 -0.41)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.22% (0.551 0.55)60.78% (-0.556 -0.56)
Avispa Fukuoka Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.89% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)44.11% (0.014000000000003 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.79% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)80.21% (0.0099999999999909 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Cerezo Osaka 49.38%
    Avispa Fukuoka 22.65%
    Draw 27.96%
Cerezo OsakaDrawAvispa Fukuoka
1-0 @ 15.42% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
2-0 @ 10.44% (0.09 0.09)
2-1 @ 8.55% (0.064 0.06)
3-0 @ 4.71% (0.092 0.09)
3-1 @ 3.86% (0.074 0.07)
4-0 @ 1.6% (0.049 0.05)
3-2 @ 1.58% (0.03 0.03)
4-1 @ 1.31% (0.04 0.04)
Other @ 1.93%
Total : 49.38%
1-1 @ 12.62% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
0-0 @ 11.38% (-0.18 -0.18)
2-2 @ 3.5% (0.025 0.02)
Other @ 0.46%
Total : 27.96%
0-1 @ 9.32% (-0.149 -0.15)
1-2 @ 5.17% (-0.024 -0.02)
0-2 @ 3.82% (-0.063 -0.06)
1-3 @ 1.41% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.04% (-0.018 -0.02)
2-3 @ 0.95% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 0.94%
Total : 22.65%

How you voted: Cerezo vs Avispa Fukuoka

Cerezo Osaka
90.0%
Draw
0.0%
Avispa Fukuoka
10.0%
10
Head to Head
Feb 25, 2023 6am
Gameweek 2
Avispa Fukuoka
2-1
Cerezo
Mae (47'), Kanamori (88')
Uejo (59')
Jul 30, 2022 11am
Gameweek 23
Cerezo
2-0
Avispa Fukuoka
Jonjic (5'), Uejo (71')
Toriumi (75')

Nara (56'), Kumamoto (67'), Maejima (79')
Apr 17, 2022 9am
Gameweek 9
Avispa Fukuoka
0-0
Cerezo
Miya (84')
Kim (84')
Aug 15, 2021 11am
Gameweek 24
Avispa Fukuoka
2-1
Cerezo
Yamagishi (39'), Croux (90+6')
Nara (79')
Taggart (45+1')
Apr 10, 2021 7am
Gameweek 9
Cerezo
2-2
Avispa Fukuoka
Nara (58'), Manuel Delgado Lloria (90+3')
Shichi (14')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1.15am
Buccaneers
@
Chiefs
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Vissel KobeVissel Kobe35207856342267
2Sanfrecce HiroshimaHiroshima351811666363065
3Machida Zelvia35179949311860
4Kashima AntlersKashima Antlers34169955401557
5Gamba OsakaGamba Osaka351512841311057
6Tokyo Verdy35141294645154
7FC Tokyo35149124946351
8Cerezo OsakaCerezo351213104243-149
9Avispa Fukuoka351114103134-347
10Nagoya GrampusNagoya Grampus35144174244-246
11Kawasaki FrontaleKawasaki341111125650644
12Shonan BellmareShonan Bellmare35128155051-144
13Kyoto Sanga34128144253-1144
14Urawa Red DiamondsUrawa341110134543243
15Yokohama F MarinosYokohama34127155254-243
16Albirex Niigata351010154357-1440
17Kashiwa ReysolReysol35912143748-1139
18Jubilo Iwata3498173956-1735
19Consadole SapporoConsadole3589184060-2033
20Sagan Tosu3585224166-2529


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