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PSG logo
Friendlies
Jul 23, 2022 at 11am UK
Saitama Stadium 2002

PSG
3 - 0
Urawa

Sarabia (16'), Mbappe (35'), Kalimuendo (76')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Shibato (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's pre-season clash between Paris Saint-Germain and Urawa Red Diamonds, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: PSG 2-1 Kawasaki
Wednesday, July 20 at 11.30am in Club Friendlies 1

We said: Paris Saint-Germain 3-1 Urawa Red Diamonds

Urawa Reds should provide competitive opposition for PSG considering that they are deep into their league season, which is what Galtier will want at this stage of pre-season. The French champions should have too much quality for their opponents, though, so we are tipping a comfortable victory for the Blues. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 64.49%. A draw had a probability of 19.6% and a win for Urawa Red Diamonds had a probability of 15.92%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.89%) and 1-0 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.14%), while for a Urawa Red Diamonds win it was 1-2 (4.46%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.

Result
Paris Saint-GermainDrawUrawa Red Diamonds
64.49% (0.0020000000000095 0) 19.59%15.92% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Both teams to score 55.18% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.78% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)39.22% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.45% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)61.55% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Paris Saint-Germain Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.53%11.47%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.68%36.31%
Urawa Red Diamonds Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.34% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)37.66% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.56% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)74.44% (0.0039999999999907 0)
Score Analysis
    Paris Saint-Germain 64.48%
    Urawa Red Diamonds 15.92%
    Draw 19.59%
Paris Saint-GermainDrawUrawa Red Diamonds
2-0 @ 10.12%
2-1 @ 9.89%
1-0 @ 9.36%
3-0 @ 7.31% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-1 @ 7.14%
4-0 @ 3.96% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 3.86%
3-2 @ 3.49% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-2 @ 1.89%
5-0 @ 1.71%
5-1 @ 1.67%
Other @ 4.09%
Total : 64.48%
1-1 @ 9.14%
2-2 @ 4.83% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-0 @ 4.32% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-3 @ 1.14%
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 19.59%
1-2 @ 4.46%
0-1 @ 4.22%
0-2 @ 2.06%
2-3 @ 1.57%
1-3 @ 1.45%
Other @ 2.16%
Total : 15.92%

How you voted: PSG vs Urawa

Paris Saint-Germain
78.3%
Draw
4.3%
Urawa Red Diamonds
17.4%
23
rhs 2.0
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