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Ligue 1
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Ligue 1 | Gameweek 38
May 21, 2022 at 8pm UK
Parc des Princes
Metz logo

PSG
5 - 0
Metz

Mbappe (25', 28', 50'), Neymar (31'), di Maria (67')
Neymar (72')
FT(HT: 3-0)

Traore (23')
Traore (58')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Paris Saint-Germain and Metz, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Paris Saint-Germain

Last Six:
Last Game: PSG 5-0 Metz
Saturday, May 21 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Next Game: PSG vs. Nantes
Saturday, July 30 at 11pm in Trophee des Champions

Metz

Last Six:
Last Game: PSG 5-0 Metz
Saturday, May 21 at 8pm in Ligue 1

We said: Paris Saint-Germain 3-0 Metz

 Lyon made the mistake of underestimating a Metz side fighting for their lives earlier this month, but De Preville's absence is a bitter blow, and the visitors have not been able to stop the rut away from home. The pressure is firmly off a healthy PSG squad at their headquarters, and Pochettino's side will expect to round off a tumultuous season with a straightforward victory to leave Metz praying for results elsewhere to go their way. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 84.28%. A draw had a probability of 10.7% and a win for Metz had a probability of 4.97%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (12.11%) and 4-0 (8.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.1%), while for a Metz win it was 0-1 (1.72%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.

Result
Paris Saint-GermainDrawMetz
84.28% (0.93900000000001 0.94) 10.75% (-0.444 -0.44) 4.97% (-0.4981 -0.5)
Both teams to score 43.53% (-1.799 -1.8)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
69.27% (-0.246 -0.25)30.73% (0.245 0.25)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
47.94% (-0.292 -0.29)52.06% (0.29 0.29)
Paris Saint-Germain Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
94.82% (0.11999999999999 0.12)5.18% (-0.122 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
79.48% (0.357 0.36)20.52% (-0.36 -0.36)
Metz Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
45.91% (-1.96 -1.96)54.09% (1.957 1.96)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
12.67% (-1.241 -1.24)87.33% (1.239 1.24)
Score Analysis
    Paris Saint-Germain 84.27%
    Metz 4.97%
    Draw 10.75%
Paris Saint-GermainDrawMetz
2-0 @ 12.27% (0.35 0.35)
3-0 @ 12.11% (0.44 0.44)
4-0 @ 8.97% (0.395 0.4)
1-0 @ 8.3% (0.177 0.18)
2-1 @ 7.55% (-0.221 -0.22)
3-1 @ 7.45% (-0.158 -0.16)
4-1 @ 5.51% (-0.073 -0.07)
5-0 @ 5.31% (0.274 0.27)
5-1 @ 3.26% (-0.017 -0.02)
6-0 @ 2.62% (0.154 0.15)
3-2 @ 2.29% (-0.189 -0.19)
4-2 @ 1.69% (-0.125 -0.13)
6-1 @ 1.61% (0.004 0)
7-0 @ 1.11% (0.073 0.07)
5-2 @ 1% (-0.066 -0.07)
Other @ 3.24%
Total : 84.27%
1-1 @ 5.1% (-0.191 -0.19)
0-0 @ 2.8% (0.039 0.04)
2-2 @ 2.32% (-0.211 -0.21)
Other @ 0.53%
Total : 10.75%
0-1 @ 1.72% (-0.079 -0.08)
1-2 @ 1.57% (-0.157 -0.16)
Other @ 1.68%
Total : 4.97%

How you voted: PSG vs Metz

Paris Saint-Germain
78.8%
Draw
14.1%
Metz
7.1%
85
Head to Head
Sep 22, 2021 8pm
Metz
1-2
PSG
Kouyate (39')
Ndiaga Yade (19'), Maiga (68'), Bronn (73'), Centonze (90+1'), Oukidja (90+6')
Bronn (90+1'), Antonetti (90+2')
Hakimi (5', 90+4')
Mendes (69'), Neymar (90+6')
Apr 24, 2021 4pm
Metz
1-3
PSG
Mbappe (4', 59'), Centonze (46'), Icardi (89' pen.)
Angban (15'), Verratti (37'), Mbappe (58'), Kurzawa (60'), Herrera (79')
Sep 16, 2020 8pm
PSG
1-0
Metz
Draxler (90+3')
Diallo (1'), Draxler (56')
Diallo (65')

Maiga (46'), Centonze (61')
Apr 4, 2020 11pm
PSG
P-P
Metz
Aug 30, 2019 7.45pm
Metz
0-2
PSG
> Match Report
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> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG16124044143040
2Marseille1593332181430
3MonacoMonaco1693426161030
4Lille1576225151027
5Lyon157442720725
6Nice156632819924
7Lens156631914524
8Auxerre156362323021
9Toulouse156361717021
10Reims155552018220
11Brest156182427-319
12Rennes155282020017
13StrasbourgStrasbourg154562527-217
14NantesNantes153571724-714
15Angers153481426-1213
16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne1541101234-2213
17Le HavreLe Havre1540111129-1812
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier1523101538-239
> Ligue 1 Full Table


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