MX23RW : Monday, September 9 11:05:23| >> :60:923:923:
Club Friendlies 3
Aug 3, 2024 at 10.30pm UK
Estadio Azteca
Aston Villa logo

America
1 - 0
Aston Villa

Hernandez (78')
FT(HT: 0-0)

(79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's friendly between Club America and Aston Villa, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Chelsea 3-0 America
Thursday, August 1 at 12.30am in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: RB Leipzig 2-0 Aston Villa
Thursday, August 1 at 1am in Club Friendlies 3

We said: Club America 2-2 Aston Villa

Although they have a head start in terms of match-fitness, America have been vulnerable at the back since returning to action; therefore, an Aston Villa squad featuring several fresh faces - but still missing some international stars - can finish their US trip with a score draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club America win with a probability of 49.76%. A win for Aston Villa had a probability of 26.9% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Club America win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.67%) and 2-0 (7.68%). The likeliest Aston Villa win was 1-2 (6.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Club America would win this match.

Result
Club AmericaDrawAston Villa
49.76% (-0.411 -0.41) 23.33% (0.076000000000001 0.08) 26.9% (0.339 0.34)
Both teams to score 59.1% (0.049999999999997 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.05% (-0.07 -0.07)41.94% (0.072000000000003 0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.65% (-0.07 -0.07)64.35% (0.072999999999993 0.07)
Club America Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.99% (-0.178 -0.18)17.01% (0.181 0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.86% (-0.318 -0.32)47.13% (0.321 0.32)
Aston Villa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.21% (0.215 0.22)28.79% (-0.212 -0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.36% (0.267 0.27)64.64% (-0.26300000000001 -0.26)
Score Analysis
    Club America 49.76%
    Aston Villa 26.9%
    Draw 23.33%
Club AmericaDrawAston Villa
2-1 @ 9.57% (-0.026999999999999 -0.03)
1-0 @ 8.67% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
2-0 @ 7.68% (-0.067 -0.07)
3-1 @ 5.65% (-0.05 -0.05)
3-0 @ 4.54% (-0.067 -0.07)
3-2 @ 3.52% (-0.01 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.5% (-0.038 -0.04)
4-0 @ 2.01% (-0.042 -0.04)
4-2 @ 1.56% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 4.06%
Total : 49.76%
1-1 @ 10.8% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
2-2 @ 5.96% (0.019 0.02)
0-0 @ 4.9% (0.016 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.46% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 23.33%
1-2 @ 6.72% (0.061 0.06)
0-1 @ 6.1% (0.056 0.06)
0-2 @ 3.8% (0.057 0.06)
1-3 @ 2.79% (0.042 0.04)
2-3 @ 2.47% (0.023 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.58% (0.033 0.03)
Other @ 3.45%
Total : 26.9%

How you voted: America vs Aston Villa

Club America
13.0%
Draw
17.4%
Aston Villa
69.6%
23
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Manchester CityMan City33009279
2Liverpool33007079
3Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton32106247
4Arsenal32105147
5Newcastle UnitedNewcastle32104227
6Brentford32015416
7Aston Villa32014406
8Bournemouth31205415
9Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest31203215
10Tottenham HotspurSpurs31116334
11Chelsea31117524
12Fulham31113304
13West Ham UnitedWest Ham310245-13
14Manchester UnitedMan Utd310225-33
15Leicester CityLeicester301235-21
16Crystal Palace301225-31
17Ipswich TownIpswich301227-51
18Wolverhampton WanderersWolves301239-61
19Southampton300315-40
20Everton3003210-80


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