Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crystal Palace win with a probability of 40.56%. A win for Aston Villa had a probability of 35.67% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crystal Palace win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.19%) and 2-0 (5.79%). The likeliest Aston Villa win was 1-2 (8.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.77%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Crystal Palace would win this match.
Result | ||
Crystal Palace | Draw | Aston Villa |
40.56% (![]() | 23.77% (![]() | 35.67% (![]() |
Both teams to score 62.15% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.09% (![]() | 39.91% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.73% (![]() | 62.27% (![]() |
Crystal Palace Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.04% (![]() | 19.96% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.87% (![]() | 52.13% (![]() |
Aston Villa Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.65% (![]() | 22.35% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.16% (![]() | 55.84% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Crystal Palace | Draw | Aston Villa |
2-1 @ 8.68% (![]() 1-0 @ 7.19% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 5.79% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 4.66% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.49% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 3.11% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.88% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.41% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.25% ( ![]() Other @ 3.1% Total : 40.56% | 1-1 @ 10.77% (![]() 2-2 @ 6.5% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 4.46% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.74% ( ![]() Other @ 0.29% Total : 23.77% | 1-2 @ 8.07% (![]() 0-1 @ 6.69% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 5.01% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 4.03% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 3.25% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 2.5% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.51% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.22% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 0.94% ( ![]() Other @ 2.46% Total : 35.67% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Liverpool | 29 | 21 | 7 | 1 | 69 | 27 | 42 | 70 |
2 | Arsenal | 28 | 15 | 10 | 3 | 52 | 24 | 28 | 55 |
3 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 28 | 15 | 6 | 7 | 45 | 33 | 12 | 51 |
4 | Chelsea | 28 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 53 | 36 | 17 | 49 |
5 | Manchester CityMan City | 28 | 14 | 5 | 9 | 53 | 38 | 15 | 47 |
6 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 28 | 12 | 10 | 6 | 46 | 40 | 6 | 46 |
7 | Aston Villa | 29 | 12 | 9 | 8 | 41 | 45 | -4 | 45 |
8 | Bournemouth | 28 | 12 | 8 | 8 | 47 | 34 | 13 | 44 |
9 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 27 | 13 | 5 | 9 | 46 | 38 | 8 | 44 |
10 | Fulham | 28 | 11 | 9 | 8 | 41 | 38 | 3 | 42 |
11 | Crystal Palace | 28 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 36 | 33 | 3 | 39 |
12 | Brentford | 28 | 11 | 5 | 12 | 48 | 44 | 4 | 38 |
13 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 28 | 10 | 4 | 14 | 55 | 41 | 14 | 34 |
14 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 28 | 9 | 7 | 12 | 34 | 40 | -6 | 34 |
15 | Everton | 28 | 7 | 12 | 9 | 31 | 35 | -4 | 33 |
16 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 27 | 9 | 6 | 12 | 32 | 47 | -15 | 33 |
17 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 28 | 6 | 5 | 17 | 38 | 57 | -19 | 23 |
18 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 28 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 26 | 58 | -32 | 17 |
19 | Leicester CityLeicester | 28 | 4 | 5 | 19 | 25 | 62 | -37 | 17 |
20 | Southampton | 28 | 2 | 3 | 23 | 20 | 68 | -48 | 9 |
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