Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Wimbledon win with a probability of 75.61%. A draw had a probability of 15.5% and a win for Metropolitan Police had a probability of 8.84%.
The most likely scoreline for an AFC Wimbledon win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (10.37%) and 0-1 (10.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.39%), while for a Metropolitan Police win it was 1-0 (3.01%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AFC Wimbledon would win this match.