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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stockport County win with a probability of 58.58%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 18.59%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stockport County win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.8%) and 2-1 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.85%), while for an AFC Wimbledon win it was 0-1 (6%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Stockport County in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Stockport County.
Result | ||
Stockport County | Draw | AFC Wimbledon |
58.58% ( -0.17) | 22.83% ( 0.08) | 18.59% ( 0.1) |
Both teams to score 49.91% ( -0.06) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.06% ( -0.17) | 48.94% ( 0.17) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.97% ( -0.16) | 71.03% ( 0.16) |
Stockport County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.61% ( -0.12) | 16.39% ( 0.12) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.97% ( -0.22) | 46.03% ( 0.22) |
AFC Wimbledon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.69% ( 0.01) | 40.3% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.07% ( 0.01) | 76.93% ( -0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Stockport County | Draw | AFC Wimbledon |
1-0 @ 11.94% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 10.8% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.82% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 6.51% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 5.92% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 2.94% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 2.69% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.68% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.22% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 1.07% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 0.97% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.03% Total : 58.58% | 1-1 @ 10.85% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 6.61% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 4.46% ( -0) Other @ 0.9% Total : 22.82% | 0-1 @ 6% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 4.93% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 2.73% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 1.49% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.35% Other @ 2.08% Total : 18.59% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Port Vale | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 33 |
2 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 28 |
3 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 28 |
4 | Walsall | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 27 | 15 | 12 | 27 |
5 | MK Dons | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 27 |
6 | Notts County | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 27 |
7 | Grimsby Town | 16 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 25 |
8 | Bradford CityBradford | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 23 |
9 | Gillingham | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 23 |
10 | AFC Wimbledon | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 21 | 11 | 10 | 22 |
11 | Chesterfield | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 29 | 20 | 9 | 22 |
12 | BarrowBarrow | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 22 |
13 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 21 |
14 | Salford City | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 21 |
15 | Newport CountyNewport | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 20 |
16 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 18 |
17 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 18 |
18 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 20 | 24 | -4 | 17 |
19 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 17 |
20 | Bromley | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 19 | -2 | 16 |
21 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 15 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 18 | 22 | -4 | 14 |
22 | Swindon TownSwindon | 16 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 13 |
23 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 16 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 14 | 29 | -15 | 12 |
24 | Morecambe | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 14 | 27 | -13 | 10 |
> League Two Full Table |