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AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Bromley
Carlisle United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Morecambe
Newport County
Notts County
Port Vale
Salford City
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Stockport County
League Two | Gameweek 42
Apr 1, 2024 at 3pm UK
Edgeley Park
AFC Wimbledon

Stockport
1 - 0
AFC Wimbledon

Bailey (85')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Lewis (12'), Balmer (80'), Bugiel (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's League Two clash between Stockport County and AFC Wimbledon, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: AFC Wimbledon 1-1 Harrogate
Friday, March 29 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Stockport County 2-0 AFC Wimbledon

Stockport County ended the month of March in sparkling form, looking strong across the board in their last two convincing triumphs. Therefore, we believe they will have the upper hand against a Wimbledon side that have not been quite as consistent over 90 minutes and are not nearly as sharp in front of goal as the league leaders. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stockport County win with a probability of 58.58%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 18.59%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stockport County win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.8%) and 2-1 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.85%), while for an AFC Wimbledon win it was 0-1 (6%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Stockport County in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Stockport County.

Result
Stockport CountyDrawAFC Wimbledon
58.58% (-0.174 -0.17) 22.83% (0.076000000000001 0.08) 18.59% (0.096 0.1)
Both teams to score 49.91% (-0.061999999999998 -0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.06% (-0.172 -0.17)48.94% (0.172 0.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.97% (-0.157 -0.16)71.03% (0.15600000000001 0.16)
Stockport County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.61% (-0.119 -0.12)16.39% (0.119 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.97% (-0.217 -0.22)46.03% (0.217 0.22)
AFC Wimbledon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.69% (0.009999999999998 0.01)40.3% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.07% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)76.93% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Stockport County 58.58%
    AFC Wimbledon 18.59%
    Draw 22.82%
Stockport CountyDrawAFC Wimbledon
1-0 @ 11.94% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-0 @ 10.8% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.82% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-0 @ 6.51% (-0.033 -0.03)
3-1 @ 5.92% (-0.028 -0.03)
4-0 @ 2.94% (-0.027 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.69% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.68% (-0.023 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.22% (-0.01 -0.01)
5-0 @ 1.07% (-0.014 -0.01)
5-1 @ 0.97% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 2.03%
Total : 58.58%
1-1 @ 10.85% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 6.61% (0.047 0.05)
2-2 @ 4.46% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
Other @ 0.9%
Total : 22.82%
0-1 @ 6% (0.044 0.04)
1-2 @ 4.93% (0.018 0.02)
0-2 @ 2.73% (0.02 0.02)
1-3 @ 1.49% (0.006 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.35%
Other @ 2.08%
Total : 18.59%

How you voted: Stockport vs AFC Wimbledon

Stockport County
Draw
AFC Wimbledon
Stockport County
72.2%
Draw
11.1%
AFC Wimbledon
16.7%
18
Head to Head
Sep 9, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 7
AFC Wimbledon
1-2
Stockport
Davison (32')
Davison (42'), Brown (45+3')
Barry (50'), Collar (62')
Croasdale (45+2'), Wright (68')
Jan 28, 2023 3pm
Sep 3, 2022 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bradford CityBradford4121101054342073
2Port Vale412013854401473
3Walsall412012972492372
4Doncaster RoversDoncaster4020101061461570
5AFC Wimbledon4119111154312368
6Notts County4219111262431968
7Grimsby Town41205165758-165
8Colchester UnitedColchester41151794940962
9Salford City411613125347661
10Crewe AlexandraCrewe421516114944561
11Chesterfield4116111462501259
12Bromley411414135651556
13Fleetwood TownFleetwood411414135753456
14Swindon TownSwindon411315136157454
15Cheltenham TownCheltenham421411175463-953
16BarrowBarrow411410174747052
17Gillingham411114163644-847
18Newport CountyNewport41138205168-1747
19MK Dons41137215165-1446
20Harrogate TownHarrogate41129203352-1945
21Tranmere RoversTranmere411013183658-2243
22Accrington StanleyAccrington411012194663-1742
23Morecambe41106253760-2336
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle41810233463-2934


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