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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 45.83%. A win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 29.8% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.02%) and 2-0 (7.34%). The likeliest AFC Wimbledon win was 1-2 (7.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.41%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Swindon Town would win this match.
Result | ||
Swindon Town | Draw | AFC Wimbledon |
45.83% ( 0) | 24.37% ( 0) | 29.8% ( -0) |
Both teams to score 57.68% ( -0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.22% ( -0.01) | 44.78% ( 0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.86% ( -0.01) | 67.14% ( 0.01) |
Swindon Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.34% ( -0) | 19.67% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.35% ( -0) | 51.65% ( 0.01) |
AFC Wimbledon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.8% ( -0.01) | 28.21% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.1% ( -0.01) | 63.91% ( 0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Swindon Town | Draw | AFC Wimbledon |
2-1 @ 9.28% ( 0) 1-0 @ 9.02% ( 0) 2-0 @ 7.34% ( 0) 3-1 @ 5.03% 3-0 @ 3.98% 3-2 @ 3.19% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.05% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.62% 4-2 @ 1.3% Other @ 3.04% Total : 45.83% | 1-1 @ 11.41% 2-2 @ 5.88% ( -0) 0-0 @ 5.55% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.34% Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.36% | 1-2 @ 7.23% ( -0) 0-1 @ 7.02% ( 0) 0-2 @ 4.44% 1-3 @ 3.05% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.48% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.87% ( -0) 1-4 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.74% Total : 29.8% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Walsall | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 12 | 7 | 19 |
2 | Gillingham | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 19 |
3 | BarrowBarrow | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 19 |
4 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 12 | 3 | 19 |
5 | Notts County | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 18 |
6 | Port Vale | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 15 | 12 | 3 | 18 |
7 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 16 |
8 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 16 |
9 | Newport CountyNewport | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 15 |
10 | Grimsby Town | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 13 | 17 | -4 | 15 |
11 | Chesterfield | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 14 |
12 | AFC Wimbledon | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 13 |
13 | MK Dons | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 12 |
14 | Bradford CityBradford | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 12 |
15 | Salford City | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 12 |
16 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 13 | 15 | -2 | 11 |
17 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 9 | -4 | 11 |
18 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 16 | -7 | 11 |
19 | Bromley | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 10 |
20 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 10 |
21 | Swindon TownSwindon | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 13 | -4 | 8 |
22 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 7 |
23 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 6 |
24 | Morecambe | 10 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 14 | -6 | 4 |
> League Two Full Table |